Lindsey Graham 52
Bob Conley 21
Mark McBride 10
Lindsey Graham 54
Bob Conley 32
Whether former Myrtle Beach Mayor Mark McBride manages to get on the ballot or not, Lindsey Graham is likely to win an easy reelection to the US Senate.
While the conventional wisdom is that McBride would pull conservative voters away from Graham, it appears that his presence would actually hurt Conley more. Conley polls 11 points higher without McBride in the race than with him. It's only a two point difference for Graham.
Conley is certainly not a typical Democratic candidate, and that fact seems to have Democratic voters skeptical about him. In the three way race he earns only 40% of the Democratic vote with Graham at 24% and McBride at 7%. Head to head with Graham he leads 57-22, a better performance but not one that's going to put him anywhere close to winning.
Full results here.