Barack Obama 48
John McCain 46
Benefiting from overwhelming support among voters who didn't cast a ballot for President in 2004, Barack Obama has a small lead in Indiana.
New voters are going for Obama at a clip of 68-24, allowing him to overcome a 48-45 lead John McCain has with folks who did vote in the last Presidential election.
Obama has a 49-39 advantage with Hoosier state independents, and is doing almost as good a job as McCain of holding the support of voters within his own party. Obama is winning 84% of Democrats while McCain gets 86% of Republicans.
Obama is winning 89% of the black vote and remaining competitive enough among white voters to keep the overall lead. McCain is winning whites 51-42.
Just how important is the economy to Obama's chances in Indiana? 60% of the state's voters list it as their top issue, and Obama has a 59-34 lead with those folks. As a segment of the whole electorate that means Obama has a 15 point lead in the overall poll based on folks most concerned with the economy. Among respondents who list anything else as their biggest issue, McCain is up 13.
George W. Bush won Indiana by 21 points in 2004, and Obama's gains since then are coming from pretty much every group of the electorate.
Full results here.