In 9 of 12 states where we've looked ahead to the 2012 GOP nomination contest Palin polled higher with men than women. Across those dozen states her level of support from men is on average 2.8 points higher than it is with women. If Palin is going to win her party's nod it doesn't appear an unusual level of support from women supporting her as a trailblazer is going to be part of that equation.
The reason for that may be pretty simple- Republican women are more moderate than Republican men and when it comes to supporting Palin their ideology trumps any kinship they may feel based on gender.
Here's the state by state breakdown:
| State | Women | Men |
| | 28 | 25 |
| | 26 | 25 |
| | 15 | 21 |
| | 24 | 25 |
| | 20 | 29 |
| | 24 | 31 |
| | 31 | 33 |
| | 30 | 25 |
| | 23 | 28 |
| | 24 | 30 |
| | 21 | 26 |
| | 26 | 28 |
8 comments:
Generally, Republican candidates perform better with men rather than women. Palin's numbers are not that unusual.
and remember, the majority of Tea Party and town hall participants are women. Women were especially disturbed to see the government takeover of healthcare threaten their family.
moderate women will more likely support a commonsense center-right women like Palin over an arrogant far-left radical like Obama.
Is it possible to break down Palin's support among conservative/moderate/liberal (if there are any of the latter) Republican men/women? I'm interested to see if ideology is truly the reason.
Hey Christian Liberty,
Can you explain how, specifically the gov't preventing healthcare from refusing to cover you and your children because of'pre-existing contitions' threatens your family? I can see how it would threaten the healthcare giants in the insurance industry, but your family? come on, .....Think, baby, think!
Oh my god, CL, read the post. It's about Republican primaries. There are ONLY Republican candidates. It's not that she's underperforming with women against Obama, she's underperforming against Huckabee and Romney.
Every week since Obamacare, the majority of LV have favored repeal. Additionally, a plurality of LV expect repeal of Obamacare to be positive for the economy. And since the economy is (and has been) more of a concern than health care "reform", it continues to be abundantly clear that the Democrats were completely out of touch with America when they choose to impose health care "reform" rather than do anything to help the economy.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/current_events/healthcare/april_2010/47_say_repeal_of_health_care_law_will_be_good_for_economy
America will be eager for chance in 2012. Obama is a failed experiment. America, including women, will want change and the Republican will be the candidate of positive change.
Just a few more ways in which Obamacare will grow to become a disappointment for true believers and an albatross on Democrats' necks:
"Five things we learned about Obamacare after it passed"
1. Obamacare doesn't cover pre-existing conditions.
2. Obamacare burdens state budgets for Medicaid
3. Obamacare will not reduce the deficit.
4. Obamacare can steal your tax refund away from you.
5. Obamacare can cripple the ski-resort industry.
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/columns/Five-things-we-learned-about-Obamacare-after-it-passed-90029262.html
Do you want to know why conservatives and tea party activists fare a lot better with male voters than they do with female voters?
The answer is NOT that hard at all.
Conservatives and the present day tea party support government control of women's lives. That's why conservatives and the 2009 tea party are NOT faring so well with women.
Note to the tea party: if you want to win any elections outside of the Southeast, you MUST get rid of the anti-choice plank in your movement's platform and replace it with a PRO-CHOICE plank.
Women are no longer falling for your less government talking point. Just like I am not falling for it.
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