tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post1095860885323066387..comments2024-03-18T06:10:07.480-05:00Comments on Public Policy Polling: Voting time for first poll of 2011Tom Jensenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comBlogger20125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-22383324948751208322011-01-04T12:40:24.560-05:002011-01-04T12:40:24.560-05:00Arizona is red, and still will be...
In Hawaii it...Arizona is red, and still will be...<br /><br />In Hawaii it is interesting (for a Democrat) to know who would want the people for replace Akaka.<br /><br />Shinseki? Waihe'e? Hirono? Hanabusa? Case? Who is the people's favorite? And who is most competitive against Lingle.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-63419785156889897512011-01-03T07:55:48.829-05:002011-01-03T07:55:48.829-05:00No one care about Hawaii. It's a blue state an...No one care about Hawaii. It's a blue state and always will be.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-36116940769025357592011-01-02T13:46:18.627-05:002011-01-02T13:46:18.627-05:00I can't speak for the previous poster, but whi...I can't speak for the previous poster, but while I agree that Hawaii won't matter much to the presidential election. There is the interesting question of what happens if Lingle runs against Akaka or another Democrat (Case?). <br /><br />In general, I think that there is plenty of Obama polling. I'm not sure how important it is to poll his electoral chances. For Republicans, the field will change soon after Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina hold their caucuses and primaries. It's hard to poll a caucus, so that pretty much leaves New Hampshire and South Carolina as the interesting states. <br /><br />I'm pretty sure that whatever state you choose to poll will offer some chance of checking the Republican presidential field (Hawaii won't go Republican in the fall but still gets a say in the primary). My suggestion would be to pick a state that also offers an interesting Senate race. You can always do the other seventeen states (without Senate races) later.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-78748072289323934362011-01-02T08:49:38.884-05:002011-01-02T08:49:38.884-05:00Hawaii cause of the potential retirement of senato...Hawaii cause of the potential retirement of senator Akaka. It would be interesting to know if the people want a retirement, and who can be the most loved potential candidates if Akaka retires.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-67275889626738532702011-01-01T12:38:08.277-05:002011-01-01T12:38:08.277-05:00"I would add Hawaii and West Virginia to the ..."I would add Hawaii and West Virginia to the list of options before Arizona and Colorado."<br /><br />Why Hawaii? It's blue as blue gets, especially in a presidential year where the president is the favorite son. CO will be, as it has the last two elections, one of the most crucial presidential battlegrounds beyond FL and OH.Dustin Ingallshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00599131416393266722noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-64357089686806823192011-01-01T06:48:04.920-05:002011-01-01T06:48:04.920-05:00I would add Hawaii and West Virginia to the list o...I would add Hawaii and West Virginia to the list of options before Arizona and Colorado.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-58789856131096280252010-12-31T15:33:57.526-05:002010-12-31T15:33:57.526-05:00I want to see NJ. Dauherty, the state senator, Do...I want to see NJ. Dauherty, the state senator, Dobbs, Diane Allen, and Kain would all be interesting to poll. I would love to see a generic ballot for the legislature in 2011 as well a Christie numbers. NJ is one of the few states with an election. <br /><br />The second poll of the year should be VA. Webb is in trouble and the state senate is up.Davidhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14763905164821434222noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-29105471539081106562010-12-30T21:50:11.231-05:002010-12-30T21:50:11.231-05:00The Presidential numbers in PA and CO will be VERY...The Presidential numbers in PA and CO will be VERY important for 2012 (for I suspect OH and FL will not easily go Blue this time around)Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-17783878630675547352010-12-30T18:21:43.536-05:002010-12-30T18:21:43.536-05:00Jordan did bow out, saying that it is extremely un...Jordan did bow out, saying that it is extremely unlikely that he'll run. <br /><br />I find it unlikely that Connecticut will settle down any time soon. There's really no reason for Lieberman to announce a party for the primary until the end of 2011 or early 2012. Similarly, he seems unlikely to announce his retirement earlier than then.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-87873380056039292882010-12-30T17:47:36.469-05:002010-12-30T17:47:36.469-05:00"What else would you test in Colorado?"
..."What else would you test in Colorado?"<br /><br />Whatever you and our other readers suggest.Dustin Ingallshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00599131416393266722noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-11259901793507613782010-12-30T17:31:18.810-05:002010-12-30T17:31:18.810-05:00Since there are so many possibilities in CT, some ...Since there are so many possibilities in CT, some will have to be left off. Christopher Meek, while he'd probably be a better candidate than McMahon, should be left off, as no one knows him. For Dems, just do Murphy and Bysiewichz. Murphy and Courtney would poll the same, as relatively generic Ds. I'm interested in seeing if Susan Bysiewichz is weaker after her issues this year. For Reps, Rell and McMahon should def be tested, and, if y'all have room, Tom Foley. <br /><br />In NJ, Guadagno and Kean Jr are the Reps that should definitely be tested, and, if y'all are doing more, Leonard Lance and Kathleen Donovan.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-61347862177730267192010-12-30T14:59:04.440-05:002010-12-30T14:59:04.440-05:00Sen. LIEberman belongs in the dustbin of history. ...Sen. LIEberman belongs in the dustbin of history. He's a moral fraud, a liar, and a coward. Of course, he'd support DADT. He wants more cannon fodder to man wars he won't send his kids to and that this country doesn't belong in anyway. During the health care debate he fought against the public option and Medicare for all, both of which he had supported during the 2006 campaign.<br /><br />Many of us CT Democrats won't forget him cheerleading our nation into the illegal war against Iraq, raking in $$ from Bush's pioneers and rangers in 2006, him speaking at the 2008 RNC convention and being a top choice as McCain's VP as well as campaigning for the Republican ticket against the Democrats.<br /><br />LIEberman is no Democrat. He may fit better with the NO Labels (no principles) group.<br /><br />Rep. Courtney, Rep. Murphy and Susan Bysiewicz would be far better US Senators than Unholy Joe LIEberman.<br /><br />Only a fool would vote for LIEberman for senate in 2012.Larkspurnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-90128079160895747892010-12-30T14:39:44.668-05:002010-12-30T14:39:44.668-05:00New Jersey
It does have Lou Dobbs being mentione...New Jersey <br /><br />It does have Lou Dobbs being mentioned for the Republicans. Other Republicans are Bill Baroni, Jennifer Beck, Kim Guadagno, Thomas Kean Jr., Joe Kyrillos, Anna (Teabagger) Little and Jay Webber. <br /><br />Of course Bob Menendez, but also wondering how Cory Booker would poll in that election.<br /><br />In Arizona, Democrats are Gabrielle Giffords, Ann Kirkpatrick (more likely to go for her old seat in the House) and Janet Napolitano.<br /><br />In Connecticut, lots of folks. For the Republicans: Tom Foley, Linda McMahon, Christopher Meek, John (Cliff on Cheers) Ratzenberger, Peter Schiff, Chris Shays and Rob Simmons. For Democrats: Susan Bysiewicz, Joe Courtney, Edward M. Kennedy Jr. and Chris Murphy. Also note that Rosa DeLauro, Jim Himes and Ned Lamont have all publicly declined to run. Hard to know which party or non-party to put Joe Lieberman into since he might just run as [fill in the blank].<br /><br />In Pennsylvanian Republicans, Marc Scaringi has officially declared, also Jake Corman, Charlie Dent, Jim Gerlach, Glen Meakem, Tim Murphy, Mark Schweiker, Mike Turzai and Kim Ward are all in the "mulling" and "wooeing" stages.<br /><br />In Nebraska, are there any other Democrats besides Ben Nelson there? Even for one of them to run for the Governor's spot or to run for congress from Omaha. Either way, Republicans looking to knock off Ben Nelson are officially declared Jon Bruning and Pat Flynn, but other names who are interested are Deb Fischer, Mike Foley Kay Off and Don Stenberg. Also important not to waste time on those who have publicly declined: Bob Bennie, Rex Fisher, Mike Flood, Jeff Fortenberry, Dave Heineman, Adrian Smith and Lee Terry.Emilynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-18663743150083700852010-12-30T14:07:25.958-05:002010-12-30T14:07:25.958-05:00Polls this far out aren't particularly meaning...Polls this far out aren't particularly meaningful for a Presidential race. They are meaningful for potential senate candidates, however. Jim Jordan was trailing Sherrod Brown by 8 points, with 3 others doing better than him. He was a distant 5th in the primary poll. He might just opt out of running for the senate with those numbers.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11928675187803337574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-13046117885773069462010-12-30T13:55:49.283-05:002010-12-30T13:55:49.283-05:00I would like see first Nebraska and Connecticut.
...I would like see first Nebraska and Connecticut. <br /><br />Later New Jersey and Pennsylvania.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-40680995150081981202010-12-30T12:24:46.368-05:002010-12-30T12:24:46.368-05:00What else would you test in Colorado?What else would you test in Colorado?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-36846164999358521482010-12-30T12:14:01.061-05:002010-12-30T12:14:01.061-05:00I'm still voting for Arizona. We've seen t...I'm still voting for Arizona. We've seen that Republicans in Arizona have lost the Hispanic vote in dramatic fashion (compare McCain's 2008 and 2010 numbers among Hispanics, for example), possibly by enough to flip the state. Low registration among Hispanic voters is the only thing keeping Arizona red these days.<br /><br />Second place I'd go with Colorado. Connecticut will get polled to death soon enough, and might as well let some of the permutations settle out first. Nebraska seems unlikely to have any interesting numbers. NJ and PA both seem unlikely to go against the grain in a presidential year as well.NRHhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12565160695480579309noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-43086644145168390892010-12-30T10:40:06.305-05:002010-12-30T10:40:06.305-05:00My order of preference:
Pennsylvania (test Gerl...My order of preference: <br /><br />Pennsylvania (test Gerlach, Dent, and the actual Republican candidate against Casey)<br />Connecticut (can Lieberman win either primary against likely opponents; can Lieberman win a three way general election)<br />New Jersey<br />Arizona<br />Nebraska<br />ColoradoAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-10293686796077383672010-12-30T10:32:54.995-05:002010-12-30T10:32:54.995-05:00I'm dying to see how Lieberman's faring po...I'm dying to see how Lieberman's faring post-DADT. I won't be surprised to see him gaining big time among Democrats and Indies. Perhaps he'll even break 40% in overall approval.Andrew Cardenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08097173109106999135noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-63602132387592915752010-12-30T10:14:26.677-05:002010-12-30T10:14:26.677-05:00Overall, taking a look at CT will be helpful. This...Overall, taking a look at CT will be helpful. This is one of those states that used to be considered a bellwether. It has since become a core democratic state. But nonetheless, should Obama be in trouble in CT, then he is in trouble all over. If he is landsliding in CT, then that is good news.Statistikhengsthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14117706673612587798noreply@blogger.com