tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post1503591495808980678..comments2024-03-26T14:01:36.240-05:00Comments on Public Policy Polling: Democrats underperforming with black votersTom Jensenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-90710342389208985812010-09-29T12:24:23.871-05:002010-09-29T12:24:23.871-05:00"This election is going to have historical lo..."This election is going to have historical low turnout among blacks. That means, lot of races like NY senate, California senate will go to the republican column." <br /><br />I agree with Dustin that those two (esp. NY) seem in the bag. I think that low black turnout will hurt Dems a LOT more in races like PA-Sen, GA-Gov, OH-Gov/Sen, NC-Sen, KY-Sen, TX-Gov, MO-Sen, FL-Gov/Sen, MD-Gov just to name a few. These are all states with close races and moderate to high black populations. If African-Americans decide to stay home because of their disappoint with Obama (or for any other reason), it could cost the Dems more than a couple of seats.ARealSenatorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07232776973041916701noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-1769515947411497352010-09-29T11:28:51.393-05:002010-09-29T11:28:51.393-05:00"That means, lot of races like NY senate, Cal..."That means, lot of races like NY senate, California senate will go to the republican column."<br /><br />Unlikely either of those do. CA's moving back Boxer's way, and we'll see what we find if we do end up doing NY, but it's unlikely Gillibrand wins by less than 10 even in a depressed-Dem-turnout year.Dustin Ingallshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00599131416393266722noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-32376235724844997882010-09-28T21:58:10.290-05:002010-09-28T21:58:10.290-05:00Wait. Isn't this normal in midterms? Did thi...Wait. Isn't this normal in midterms? Did this happen in 2009 midterms in NJ/VA?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-11967906780873916062010-09-28T18:46:51.443-05:002010-09-28T18:46:51.443-05:00Folks,
Unemployment rate among blacks is 16.3%. U...Folks,<br /><br />Unemployment rate among blacks is 16.3%. Unemployment rate among teens in black community is 45%. This election is going to have historical low turnout among blacks. That means, lot of races like NY senate, California senate will go to the republican column.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-65931250489853072372010-09-28T14:34:25.483-05:002010-09-28T14:34:25.483-05:00We owe it all to Michael Steele's fantastic wo...We owe it all to Michael Steele's fantastic work in the last two years, fo shizzle. :)wthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04343481782148411302noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-61605796673131374942010-09-28T12:42:00.513-05:002010-09-28T12:42:00.513-05:00It's their % of the black vote in the horse ra...It's their % of the black vote in the horse races.Dustin Ingallshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00599131416393266722noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-3628294057564598172010-09-28T10:59:22.103-05:002010-09-28T10:59:22.103-05:00Tom- What do you mean by "support level"...Tom- What do you mean by "support level" for each Dem among blacks? I'm just curious as to what measure you used to determine this. Is it approval for the Dem or some sort of intent to vote measure? I assume approval but just wanted to make sure! Thanks.ARealSenatorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07232776973041916701noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-69042892577861165652010-09-28T09:55:39.430-05:002010-09-28T09:55:39.430-05:00This is the consequence of publicly dismissing the...This is the consequence of publicly dismissing the President's accomplishments--it's the same lukewarm support that we saw with Coakley in MA and Deeds in VA.natthedemhttp://twitter.com/natthedemnoreply@blogger.com