tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post1604578962008861411..comments2024-03-18T06:10:07.480-05:00Comments on Public Policy Polling: Obama below 50 but beats PalinTom Jensenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-31114231219213808762009-07-15T14:47:05.861-05:002009-07-15T14:47:05.861-05:00now that palin in unleashed. she can really get do...now that palin in unleashed. she can really get down to business<br /><br />her to step down hurt her a bit, but did not kill her.<br /><br />she can now get her message out on HER terms. not mccain aids.Simple thoughtshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05735246568110010553noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-44634187401785956512009-07-15T14:17:11.443-05:002009-07-15T14:17:11.443-05:00Tom,
What percentage of conservative Democrats do...Tom,<br /><br />What percentage of conservative Democrats do you think she would need to win to beat Obama in the state?<br /><br />25% of conservative Democrats seems like a respectable percentage but she's still down by a decent margin.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-58685542744734601302009-07-15T14:13:00.951-05:002009-07-15T14:13:00.951-05:00So Tom,
You still don't think she can the nom...So Tom,<br /><br />You still don't think she can the nomination. She's pulling in 60% + among the moderate crowd in states as diverse as North Carolina and Minnesota in addition to her 83% approval from conservative Republicans (I'm guessing her conservative Republican favorables in NC are over 83%).<br /><br />It seems that she has the broadest base among Republicans (though perhaps at this moment, the least broad base of the general electorate) of the three guys you have polled her with against Obama.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-77261728270187660422009-07-15T14:07:34.668-05:002009-07-15T14:07:34.668-05:00If Shuler ever wants to run for Governor or Senate...If Shuler ever wants to run for Governor or Senate and win a Democratic primary he can't have had Palin in to campaign for him. Not to mention that he's probably got that House seat for as long as he wants it anyway.<br /><br />Conservative Democrats, Obama leads 58-25, Palin numbers are 31/50.<br /><br />Conservative independents, Palin leads 73-17, her numbers are 67/21.<br /><br />Moderate Republicans, Palin leads 79-13, her numbers are 63/22.Tom Jensenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-57570248952104353342009-07-15T14:04:40.024-05:002009-07-15T14:04:40.024-05:00By the way, Schuler probably should have taken up ...By the way, Schuler probably should have taken up Palin on her "offer" don't you think?<br /><br />His district is comprised of rural whites. Looking at your numbers, if I were Schuler I wouldn't want anything to do with Barack Obama.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-51329173669674355732009-07-15T13:58:20.455-05:002009-07-15T13:58:20.455-05:00Tom,
If you can, give the breakdown for her favor...Tom,<br /><br />If you can, give the breakdown for her favorables/unfavorables and the Obama mathcup for:<br /><br />Conservative Democrats<br />Conservative Indies<br />Moderate RepublicansAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-8819900079653582492009-07-15T13:54:51.614-05:002009-07-15T13:54:51.614-05:00Tom,
It seems like Palin is doing pretty well wit...Tom,<br /><br />It seems like Palin is doing pretty well with moderate Republicans here in terms of favorables and in the matchup with Obama. There seems to be a great split between conservatives she wins versus the percentage of Republicans she wins. The Republican number is significantly higher. That tells me that she doens't have an issue with moderate Republicans in your home state.<br /><br />The problem for her in North Carolina seems to be conservative Democrats and indies. Her conservative number in this poll is lower than the numbers you have found for her in your nationwide polling among conservatives. I suspect she's not polling very well with conservative dems or indies.<br /><br />Am I reading the poll correctly?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com