tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post1908640830309062653..comments2024-03-26T14:01:36.240-05:00Comments on Public Policy Polling: NC Race TightensTom Jensenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-37446028179188323942008-10-28T13:55:00.000-05:002008-10-28T13:55:00.000-05:00I was polled as part of this recent update. I not...I was polled as part of this recent update. I noted that the results are reported as "Likely Voters", but I was never asked whether I planned to vote as part of the election. There was a question about whether I had already voted. Perhaps there is an assumption that past participation is an indicator of likelihood of participating? If so, is PPP able to cross-reference participation from other jurisdictions (as I would imagine would be necessary for new residents)? Or does the lack of a history automatically put someone into the Not Likely category and then they are not polled?<BR/><BR/>I also noted that, since it was an automated system, PPP really has no way of knowing whether the individual they were trying to contact (I'll assume identified via voter rolls) is actually the person who answered the poll questions. Granted, the same could be done to a live person, but I suspect some psychological barriers make it a little less likely than with an automated system.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-80629913970595971902008-10-27T15:27:00.000-05:002008-10-27T15:27:00.000-05:00I'm curious about the fact that 33% of the voters ...I'm curious about the fact that 33% of the voters in the sample had voted already. As of today, 1.2 million of 6.2 million voters had voted (19% of registered voters), or 34% of the total turnout in 2004 (3.5 million). So it definitely seems to be an oversampling of early voters, as I find it difficult to beleive only 3.5 million will turn out this year.ottohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00946216924193243407noreply@blogger.com