tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post2120610917228108985..comments2024-03-26T14:01:36.240-05:00Comments on Public Policy Polling: Where Deeds has work to doTom Jensenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-87305673529245209682009-09-03T13:57:15.201-05:002009-09-03T13:57:15.201-05:00Ramus,
Yes, the '05 Election saw huge Moderat...Ramus,<br /><br />Yes, the '05 Election saw huge Moderate margins in Tim Kaine's favor. Survey USA has the Moderate Vote (47%, eclipsing the numbers of conservatives and liberals) 70%-24% in Kaine's favor. 2005 was clearly a time when Moderates impacted the election tremendously. <br /><br />And, as we can see the 2009 Moderate vote, we can see that Deeds is winning no where near as much as Tim Kaine was. Therefore, one can assume that the more Moderate Kaine voters would most likely be competitive, while the Conservative Kilgore voters would most likely be backing McDonnell.Venuhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05015913924917740667noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-14825529797450215132009-09-02T15:40:01.336-05:002009-09-02T15:40:01.336-05:00Bigvinu,
two points, first of all in my opinion p...Bigvinu,<br /><br />two points, first of all in my opinion party identification mostly tops self-identificated ideology in the influence on your voting decision. Therefore, it's reasonable to assume that people who voted for the Democrat last time would wind up voting for the Democrat again this time.<br /><br />Second, was the 2005 electorate (that elected a Democrat by 6 points) really 15% liberal and 38% conservative (eg more conservative-leaning than both the 2004 electorate and the 2009 PPP likely voter universe, which seems to be pretty conservative, too)?<br /><br />That surprises me.Rasmushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15988553477224040059noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-721149548852523922009-09-02T11:15:34.464-05:002009-09-02T11:15:34.464-05:00This comment has been removed by the author.Venuhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05015913924917740667noreply@blogger.com