tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post2556348892913735397..comments2024-03-26T14:01:36.240-05:00Comments on Public Policy Polling: Looking at WashingtonTom Jensenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-39202411580660123822010-08-19T15:16:42.043-05:002010-08-19T15:16:42.043-05:00Hopefully Rossi will get an endorsement from Palin...Hopefully Rossi will get an endorsement from Palin. That would drive up Democratic turnout.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-72051476920464717712010-08-19T12:36:17.676-05:002010-08-19T12:36:17.676-05:00Nearly 320,000 total votes remain to be tallied in...Nearly 320,000 total votes remain to be tallied in the Washington State primary and fully one-third of those are King County votes. The remaining are primarily from Pierce and Thurston Counties. Murray has picked up a full percentage since Tuesday evening and is expected to pick up another 2 points before the election is certified. That is why prognosticators is our state say Murray outperformed expectations and give her a 5 point edge now. I think 7 points is more likely.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-17003018116897522952010-08-18T19:51:54.965-05:002010-08-18T19:51:54.965-05:00Tom,
I would agree with you (of which I generally...Tom, <br />I would agree with you (of which I generally don't) that Washington is one of only a few states, where a Democratic candidate can win in a highly contested race, as it now is. You're also right that the lines have already been drawn and there remains but a small percentage of undecideds out there that might otherwise influence the final tally. As such, I fully expect this race to be a close one, all the way to the end. Though I don't consider the enthusiasm gap to be as big a factor as what it might be in so many other states, I nonetheless, would have to give the edge to Dino Rossi in a close (by a nose) finish. But, of course, we'll see - won't we?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-7645714018956449142010-08-18T18:39:25.796-05:002010-08-18T18:39:25.796-05:00And what should Rossi do to help him win the seat?...And what should Rossi do to help him win the seat? <br /><br />What, you're only giving out advice to one side?wthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04343481782148411302noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-61537492551758258492010-08-18T18:25:33.687-05:002010-08-18T18:25:33.687-05:00Please answer the question above!!!Please answer the question above!!!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-31143409662744852082010-08-18T16:35:17.519-05:002010-08-18T16:35:17.519-05:00Primary voters sometimes are so behind their guy t...Primary voters sometimes are so behind their guy that they vow not to vote for the opponent. This feeling largely dissipates by election day. <br /><br />Based on curent totals Republicans beat Democrats by about 12,000 votes, with about 15,000 going to other parties. These could matter, since they can't vote for other parties in November. <br /><br />Around 34,000 more people voted in the senate race than the congressional races. The congressional votes for third parties were almost triple those in the Senate vote.<br /><br />This isn't surprising. Since a number of the congressional races are unlikely to be competitive, people feel more freedom to vote for a candidate of choice or not at all. Democrats got more votes than Republicans in the congressional races. Overall, however, 41,000 more people voted Republican in the senate race and only 19,000 voted Democratic. It's likely that more people voted for a Democrat for congress, but also voted for a Republican for Senate than vice versa. <br /><br />This close to the election I doubt you'll see much change in the electorate. It'll likely come down to a few thousand votes and a few mysterious "new" boxes of ballots from Democratic areas.DBLnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-41002581529182543092010-08-18T15:43:51.482-05:002010-08-18T15:43:51.482-05:00Did you poll the 2012 Republican Presidential prim...Did you poll the 2012 Republican Presidential primary in Washington?The Interesting Timeshttp://the-futurologist.blogspot.comnoreply@blogger.com