tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post3374249572734783173..comments2024-03-26T14:01:36.240-05:00Comments on Public Policy Polling: GOP favored in Texas Senate, but potential for competitivenessTom Jensenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-52480715648133245972011-07-01T02:14:03.789-05:002011-07-01T02:14:03.789-05:00Not gonna happen in 2012 without some major politi...Not gonna happen in 2012 without some major political upheaval (a viable third-party bid, massive unforgivable gaffe, state economic downturn souring voters on Republican policies in a hurry, etc). But Texas used to be nowhere near the table; it's close enough now that Republicans could plausibly be forced to play some defense there, the same way Democrats expect wins in California and New Jersey but can't sit back and coast. The strongest GOP cohort in Texas is the 65+ crowd; by the time this seat comes up again in six years, this year's 65+ voters will be 71+, and have suffered a significant dropout rate.<br /><br />This election could be Texas' Virginia-2006 - a major gaffe could be enough for a razor-thin Democratic win, but that win presages an increasing Democratic state presence.NRHhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12565160695480579309noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-18346757871548165862011-07-01T01:40:36.221-05:002011-07-01T01:40:36.221-05:00There's a movement to draft State Senator Wend...There's a movement to draft State Senator Wendy Davis, of Tarrant County. I'd like to see her included in the poll.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-59361747502233201702011-06-30T23:37:44.119-05:002011-06-30T23:37:44.119-05:00I know this is a long shot but if Michelle Bachman...I know this is a long shot but if Michelle Bachmann gets the Republican nomination for President, Obama is definitely a shoo-in for another term.Kimhttp://www.scandalousnow.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-27837614665986113072011-06-30T23:34:52.417-05:002011-06-30T23:34:52.417-05:00Michelle Bachmann makes Sarah Palin sounds intelli...Michelle Bachmann makes Sarah Palin sounds intelligent, is that scary or what!Kimhttp://www.scandalousnow.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-67872004616311364972011-06-30T18:20:21.451-05:002011-06-30T18:20:21.451-05:00The Democrats won't win Hutchison's seat.
...The Democrats won't win Hutchison's seat.<br /><br />Texas is to the Democratic Party as California is to the Republican Party: a place where a win is possible in theory (maybe even with a few polls to back it up), but never actually happens.The Interesting Timeshttp://the-futurologist.blogspot.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-19366751304429849942011-06-30T17:38:55.605-05:002011-06-30T17:38:55.605-05:00Why was Chet Edwards not included in this poll? He...Why was Chet Edwards not included in this poll? He's been talked about as a candidate fairly regularly, and he could potentially make the seat as competitive as Sharp would.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-27928964979360894832011-06-30T14:05:58.026-05:002011-06-30T14:05:58.026-05:00I don't see Democrats winning this. Independen...I don't see Democrats winning this. Independents do favor the Dems in all match-ups, but in the January poll they favored the Republicans. This could be just a one time thing. If you do another poll, and Independents still favor the Dems, then I might be more concerned. Also, Republicans are almost just as undecided as Democrats in most of the match-ups, and with roughly the same amount of cross-over on both sides, I see it hard for the Dems to have a chance right now.Pat Hhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04837951117089490809noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-8316906999638293242011-06-30T13:57:03.221-05:002011-06-30T13:57:03.221-05:00The only way the Democrats could win this is if:
...The only way the Democrats could win this is if:<br /><br />Dewhurst loses the nomination<br />Tommy Lee Jones gets into the race<br />TLJ runs a fantastic campaign<br />Republican makes a major gaffe<br />Bachmann is the Presidential nominee<br />Obama does very well nationally (2008 or better)<br /><br />I think it would take extraordinary luck for all of those to happen. Even if they did, I still think TLJ would probably lose by a slight margin.Kevinnoreply@blogger.com