tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post3891265578342088654..comments2024-03-26T14:01:36.240-05:00Comments on Public Policy Polling: Senate 2010: Reviewing PPP's PollsTom Jensenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-7578046153377979682008-11-13T14:01:00.000-05:002008-11-13T14:01:00.000-05:00A little early to bury Burr. Elections two years a...A little early to bury Burr. Elections two years away. Midterms tend to be referendums on party in power....and what a mess?<BR/><BR/>Candidates? <BR/><BR/>Cooper strong; has money access and Party support. Atty. General down-ballot position but he'll solve that with dollars. Conservative/moderate. Building conservative credentials by opposing illegal immigrants in community colleges. Hunt-mold of Democrat; safe choice...but best choice? How forward will NC have moved in two years...and 18-29 y.o. more liberal.<BR/> <BR/>E. Marshall? Nice lady but zero gravitas. Age is factor as well. Heard her speak-- you'll tune out after 30 seconds. <BR/><BR/>Jim Neal, humm. Was very viable b4 media onslaught by Hagan/DSCC in last 30 days. No money; Party/DC strongly opposed and will do so in 2010. Grassroots favorite and great gravitas/articulate. Smart as hell. Can gay guy win...not a reason for him not to try. Wouldn't have been a Kay Hagan w/out him. But....can he raise the bucks?<BR/><BR/>Others: Heath Schuler, Richard Moore. <BR/><BR/>Moore has highest visibility after gubernatorial race; doulc self-fund if he wanted to do so.<BR/><BR/>Schuler appeals to DC with conservative, Blue Dog credentals; will play well in west and east...but will he play in the metro areas? Far from a rocket scientist but he can throw a football.<BR/><BR/>End-game. Too early to say. A lot can happen in two years. Burr ain't gonna be as easy as Dole. Better Senator and he does come home. Don't write this guy off as a pushover.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-31657634562487849702008-11-12T08:55:00.000-05:002008-11-12T08:55:00.000-05:00I agree that Cooper would romp against Burr. Reme...I agree that Cooper would romp against Burr. Remember also that this is the seat Republicans never win in off year elections and Democrats never win in Presidential elections. The last Senator to successfully defend this seat was Sam Ervin in, I believe, 1968.<BR/><BR/>While Miller would be a good candidate, I think he likes his rising power in the House. Another possibility would be Elaine Marshall, who is very popular, and would play into our state's love for electing women (maybe tied to the 56% female voter turnout?).<BR/><BR/>Finally, I don't get the comment about needing a stronger history than Senator Hagan. I thought she was a great candidate from day 1 and predicted she'd win as soon as she announced.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-10140053267242495772008-11-08T21:32:00.000-05:002008-11-08T21:32:00.000-05:00I would LOVE to give Burr the Dole treatment. I'm...I would LOVE to give Burr the Dole treatment. I'm curious about who to send up against him. I'd be interested in potentially seeing Jim Neal make another run. We've also got a number of great Reps who could make the move if they wanted - I think Brad Miller might make a good choice. I'm sure there are others, but I'm not thinking well right now.<BR/><BR/>Who are you polling Burr against right now?thisnisshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00663188886983604953noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-22374136314046908592008-11-07T18:11:00.000-05:002008-11-07T18:11:00.000-05:00You're already starting to poll 2010?Well, I guess...You're already starting to poll 2010?<BR/><BR/>Well, I guess <A HREF="http://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/election.png" REL="nofollow">this describes you as much as me.</A>Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-90651543161665017162008-11-07T16:22:00.000-05:002008-11-07T16:22:00.000-05:00Keep in mind that it's not going to be as easy to ...Keep in mind that it's not going to be as easy to tie Burr to Bush in 2010 when Bush has been out for 2 years. A lot of voters may drop their resentment of Bush once he's gone, and it's certainly possible that the Democrats could drop the ball and have an election that is nowhere close to last 2006 and 2008.<BR/><BR/>That said, Burr is probably vulnerable either way. But I think the Democrats would be wise to run a candidate with a stronger history than Kay Hagan's.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-78955963865404517332008-11-07T15:58:00.000-05:002008-11-07T15:58:00.000-05:00NC Attorney General Roy Cooper, if he runs (and I ...NC Attorney General Roy Cooper, if he runs (and I can't see why he wouldn't) would destroy Richard Burr. <BR/><BR/>"President Bush is right 96% of the time" might work in Oklahoma but it's going to get him creamed in NC.rloutlawhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16680580375285899384noreply@blogger.com