tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post3935292867635491753..comments2024-03-26T14:01:36.240-05:00Comments on Public Policy Polling: 2012 President SurveyTom Jensenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comBlogger11125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-53026938913223665342009-05-01T10:53:00.000-05:002009-05-01T10:53:00.000-05:00You're hopelessly off base T. I would suggest you...You're hopelessly off base T. I would suggest you do a little more research. Governor Huckabee should be the leading Presidential candidate, in large part because he understands how policy decisions made at the federal level have unitended consequences at the local level. The Governor was forced into tax hikes as a result of unfunded federal mandates and Supreme Court decisions which required the State of Arkansas to invest heavily in education--not as a result of tax-and-spend philosophy on the part of the Governor. This is an indefensible position put forward by the likes of Fred Thompson to divert attention away from the failures of Republicans in Washington to balance the budget and rein in spending.<br /><br />A couple of important points to note here T and you can contact me if you would like me to support these claims. First, Huckabee was an fiscal conservative who was honored by several organizations as a friend to the taxpayer prior to the aforementioned rulings. Second, he increased user fees whenever possible rather than implement across-the-board tax increases. And finally,as the Governor has said repeatedly, the size and scope of the federal government should be dramatically reduced. Why? Because he understands that the fiscal recklessness of the federal government has had a negative impact on state and local governments across the country. Huckabee in 2012!<br /><br />Patrick S. Ziegler<br />Team Huck Organizer, Northern New YorkPatrickhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05193583905228035811noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-43189035960715193502009-04-27T12:49:00.000-05:002009-04-27T12:49:00.000-05:00That "Tax-Hike Mike" would be leading the polls am...That "Tax-Hike Mike" would be leading the polls amongst GOP voters should be proof enough that the GOP weren't the driving force behind the Tea Parties. I say "should be" though, because I happen to know for a fact that most Republicans are clueless enough to protest Obama's stimulus bill and still turn around and vote for the tax-raising Huckster. <br /> <br />Please, GOP, get a clue!Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17712699516609693883noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-86869062102798818102009-04-25T06:14:00.000-05:002009-04-25T06:14:00.000-05:00Joseph, that's exit poll data...
Exit Polls are n...Joseph, that's exit poll data... <br />Exit Polls are not necessarily the most reliable things out there...<br /><br /><A>http://www.swtimes.com/articles/2007/09/27/news/news03.txt</A>Also, Democratic national candidates could always count on the black vote since LBJ- with 90+%-- there is no reason to believe Obama will underperform that against someone who trails him by 7-12 points with all voters.Rasmushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15988553477224040059noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-9854679274809505812009-04-24T15:53:00.000-05:002009-04-24T15:53:00.000-05:00Huckabee. I was all ready to vote for him last ti...Huckabee. I was all ready to vote for him last time. Thought he had great ideas. Loved his common sense (that seems to be fading fast in today' world) and his down to earth, honest attitude. <br />Palin - She had my vote this time. Considering a move to Alaska. I love that she is not afraid to stand her ground. She's got more grit about her than most in our country's capital. I would love to see a Palin/Huckabee ticket in 2012.mspatriothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10203213823056542208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-48603317316798995402009-04-24T09:16:00.000-05:002009-04-24T09:16:00.000-05:00Huckabee? Please, not a continuation of the great ...Huckabee? Please, not a continuation of the great Evangelical hope. We need someone with brains, knows the economy, with proven leadership. <br />Mitt Romney 2012.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-55217543488294547082009-04-23T22:46:00.000-05:002009-04-23T22:46:00.000-05:00This seems a bad sample.
In both 2004 and 2008, n...This seems a bad sample.<br /><br />In both 2004 and 2008, national exit polling as well as non-election polling released by Pew show a national electorate of 21% liberal, 34% conservative, and 45% moderate, whereas this sample is 15% liberal, 41% conservative, 44% conservative. <br /><br />That right there is probably what makes Obama's rating somewhat worse in this poll than other national polling. Indeed, if you refigure the numbers in line with the exit polling data, you get 57% approval, 36% disapproval - which is basically the same as the PPP March poll.Ben Piggothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15330202149854420725noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-42939539987268014822009-04-23T21:03:00.000-05:002009-04-23T21:03:00.000-05:00"Rasmus said...
I mean, we already know that Pali...<B><I>"Rasmus said...<br /><br />I mean, we already know that Palin or Huckabee won't get 17% of the African-American vote come 2012. Even if Obama fails."</I></B>I am curious as to your reasons for this statement? In 1998, Huckabee received 48% of the African-American vote in Arkansas Governor's race. He also received key endorsements this past GOP primary from African-Americans. Everything I read says he does extremely well with African-Americans. Unlike most GOP candidates, he also shows up to debates hosted by African-American associations. I don't think 17% is too much of a stretch nationally.Josephhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03496470458358707399noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-4190871174795031602009-04-23T15:25:00.000-05:002009-04-23T15:25:00.000-05:00I certainly agree with you but I don't know why. ...I certainly agree with you but I don't know why. Same thing happened in a lot of polling last year further out from the election.Tom Jensenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-44661004462129261362009-04-23T15:24:00.000-05:002009-04-23T15:24:00.000-05:00Tom,
do you have any idea why African-Americans ...Tom, <br /><br />do you have any idea why African-Americans seem to be more inclined to vote for the GOP when the election is still a lot of time a way but always end up in the Democratic column? I mean, it's like that every time, at least in your polls (and you're the only pollster from whom I know crosstabs for 2010 or 2012 from states with a sizable AA minority)- the GOP gets support from 15-20% African-Americans in the early polls, with maybe additional 10% undecided, but the Democrats still get 90-95% in the elections.<br /><br />I mean, we already know that Palin or Huckabee won't get 17% of the African-American vote come 2012. Even if Obama fails.Rasmushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15988553477224040059noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-24891314400785990272009-04-23T10:39:00.000-05:002009-04-23T10:39:00.000-05:00Hey Tom, do you have the regional crosstabs for th...Hey Tom, do you have the regional crosstabs for this survey? Thanks.andgardenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17717558692590041512noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-60236406621330364712009-04-23T10:37:00.000-05:002009-04-23T10:37:00.000-05:00Could you poll South Carolina? I'd love to see the...Could you poll South Carolina? I'd love to see the opinions of Mark Sanford vs. Obama vs. stimilus or no stimulus.Chrishttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13295093713962283391noreply@blogger.com