tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post4092427310230960976..comments2024-03-18T06:10:07.480-05:00Comments on Public Policy Polling: How Obama won North CarolinaTom Jensenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comBlogger14125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-83527916501644285712008-11-08T01:56:00.000-05:002008-11-08T01:56:00.000-05:00I'm surprised Obama won North Carolina. A lot of ...I'm surprised Obama won North Carolina. A lot of whites live in North Carolina. The Republican Party in North Carolina is just a bunch of white racists. It is filled with a bunch of Angry White Guys (and Gals) who think the 1965 Hart-Celler Immigration Act ruined America because it made it a lot harder for whites from Ireland, England, France, Germany, Italy, etc. to immigrate to the U.S. and made it a lot easier for the Chinese, Indians, Jamaicans, Mexicans, Egyptians, etc. to immigrate to the U.S. What these racists don't GET is that the 1965 Hart-Celler Immigration Act (Thank You Senator Ted Kennedy) greatly increased Diversity in the U.S. which has made OUR Nation stronger and a much more multicultural place to live. Before 1965 Whites of European descent made up 88% of the U.S. population. Now whites only make up 65% of the U.S. population and by 2042 they will only make up 49% of the population. By 2100 Whites of European descent will only make up about 30% of the U.S. population and only 3% of the World Population. The 2008 Election is just a turning point in American History though. By the end of this century white Europeans will be out of power in the United States(FINALLY!) and then we can finally end WHITE PRIVILEDGE and can get REAL Affirmative Action, REAL Reparations, REAL Change, and begin to redistribute wealth and property back to those who deserve it. Unfortunately, these Changes won't take place until the White Kids in Strollers and Elementary School today are in their 60's and 70's. The World is Flat. The white racist Republicans just don't seem to get it!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-33688871428557267382008-11-07T12:56:00.000-05:002008-11-07T12:56:00.000-05:00Looks like all of our persuasion calls into Hyde c...Looks like all of our persuasion calls into Hyde county paid off.GoJetzoffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04212441730073030840noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-36097208323749139552008-11-06T10:52:00.000-05:002008-11-06T10:52:00.000-05:00Tom,Fascinating analysis. Thanks.Did you see the N...Tom,<BR/><BR/>Fascinating analysis. Thanks.<BR/><BR/>Did you see the <A HREF="http://yglesias.thinkprogress.org/archives/2008/11/the_mccain_belt.php" REL="nofollow">NY Times map</A> of places where McCain did better than Bush did in 2004, including a few counties in North Carolina?<BR/><BR/>Is there any explanation for this other than racism?<BR/><BR/>I write about this on my blog, in a post titled, <A HREF="http://jimbuie.blogs.com/journal/2008/11/state-by-state-results.html" REL="nofollow">"State-by-State Analysis Suggests Appalachia, Parts of South, Haven't Overcome Racial Bias"</A>.Jim Buiehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00388620310218826753noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-35397902489304923702008-11-06T08:20:00.000-05:002008-11-06T08:20:00.000-05:00Obama won N.C. for a number of reasons, none of wh...Obama won N.C. for a number of reasons, none of which have been posted here. The first reason is instead of rallying together many conservative voters who voted for Bush in '00 & '04 voted for independents this time. These votes took away from McCain. Another reason is the population growth of the colleges in N.C. that are known to be liberal breeding grounds. Also worth mentioning is the impact of all the extreme left-wingers who have moved to N.C. in the last 4 years. This is especially true in the Asheville area. Last, but not least once again alot of the military votes were lost. This is especially disturbing considering 70% of the military(including myself) voted for McCain. Well, that is enough explaining the past. The election is over and the people have spoken. There is no need to fear because the "good old north state" will once again be won by a conservative republican. Until then I will respect my new President (unlike the liberals have with President Bush) and continue to pray for him & our nation.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-89948474557816878452008-11-05T23:18:00.000-05:002008-11-05T23:18:00.000-05:00I'm afraid those folks are going to vote on values...I'm afraid those folks are going to vote on values issues unless they're having pocketbook problems...it kind of goes back to the whole premise of 'What's the matter with Kansas?'Tom Jensenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-24150441169927235822008-11-05T23:12:00.000-05:002008-11-05T23:12:00.000-05:00"If prosperity returns, or the Democrats nominate ..."If prosperity returns, or the Democrats nominate northeastern liberals, those folks will be right back in the GOP column"<BR/><BR/>I think it would be more if prosperity DOESN'T return. If Obama 'proves' himself to them, why would they change?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-67185451745589069052008-11-05T22:42:00.000-05:002008-11-05T22:42:00.000-05:00"Obama won a narrow victory in Jackson County, dee...<B>"Obama won a narrow victory in Jackson County, deep in the heart of the Mountains, where George W. Bush won in 2004. He sure as heck didn't do that by bringing out the black vote in a county that's less than 2% African American."</B><BR/><BR/>A brilliant campaign to be sure, but one metric involving Jackson County is that it is home to a second tier state university that has grown from about 6k students to exceeding 9k students in the last several years.<BR/><BR/>With Obama's ground game and youthquake, Jackson is not a real surprise. If he'd taken Macon or Swain, that would be a surprise.<BR/><BR/>McCrory losing Mecklenburg is a surprise.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-24389663268180016572008-11-05T20:22:00.000-05:002008-11-05T20:22:00.000-05:00thisniss,I agree. One thing that bugs me is all t...thisniss,<BR/><BR/>I agree. One thing that bugs me is all the reasons people are giving for the Obama win (market meltdown, McCain mistakes, etc.). Forget it - Obama won because he ran one of the best (and I agree, smartest) Presidential campaigns I've ever seen. No drama, stayed on message, and really understood and worked the ground game.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-50113031392140835312008-11-05T19:35:00.000-05:002008-11-05T19:35:00.000-05:00I think it's important to consider not just where ...I think it's important to consider not just <I>where</I> Obama won in NC but <I>when</I>.<BR/><BR/>After the way he ran (and won) the primary here, I felt that he had the strongest shot of any Dem in a decade because he so clearly understood the benefits of the One-Stop Early Voting window. His GOTV, which clearly focused on One-Stop, should be the model for all NC campaigns going forward.<BR/><BR/>As your pre-election polling made clear, Obama's votes were "banked" in Early Voting, whereas the bulk of McCain's accumulated on Election Day proper. The BOE returns bear this out. McCain actually did a little better in the Early Vote and Election Day margins than I expected, but the sheer volume of Obama's One-Stop vote advantage made it difficult for McCain to overcome.<BR/><BR/>The fact that Obama <I>combined</I> a strategy of urban / Dem stronghold dominance and Early Vote was even smarter. Look at a place like Orange County. It voted 70+% for Obama, and 70+% in Early Voting. Smart, smart, smart Obama campaign.thisnisshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00663188886983604953noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-4199813746515649822008-11-05T17:33:00.000-05:002008-11-05T17:33:00.000-05:00PPP did really well in your final round of poll fo...PPP did really well in your final round of poll forecasting. You nailed it in NC, VA, FL, PA (a little short), CO, and a number of states. Congrats!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-15011994342754263222008-11-05T13:18:00.000-05:002008-11-05T13:18:00.000-05:00Flo Obama won NC, yes there are provisionals outst...Flo Obama won NC, yes there are provisionals outstanding, but those normally do not change the results that much and indeed generally provisionals enure to the benefit of the Dem candidate. Chill, NC just turned blue for the first time since 1976!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-62081921421628195262008-11-05T12:50:00.000-05:002008-11-05T12:50:00.000-05:00Tom are you sure that NC will be called for Obama?...Tom are you sure that NC will be called for Obama??? I know Obama is leading with all the votes counted by about 12000 votes, bur according to politico, they will have to verify some provisional ballots...Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02197201150839140074noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-22940053305039188302008-11-05T12:38:00.000-05:002008-11-05T12:38:00.000-05:00In all the battleground states and in new places t...In all the battleground states and in new places that went blue like NC, Va and Fl it was interesting to see the stark difference between the urban centers and the rural areas.<BR/><BR/>And I agree, it wasn't all about new black voters. I believe that people in cities are just more likely to vote democratic.Monicarol.Evanshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09250657075178436208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-19804295555592450512008-11-05T12:24:00.000-05:002008-11-05T12:24:00.000-05:00I was especially surprised with the strong Obama v...I was especially surprised with the strong Obama vote in Cumberland county (Fayetteville). A strong statement for more rational foreign policy from the people who have to enforce it.Ruby Sinreichhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01876483905350657769noreply@blogger.com