tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post5327283108309582927..comments2024-03-26T14:01:36.240-05:00Comments on Public Policy Polling: Ayotte holds small leadTom Jensenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-88810050313108146312010-09-16T13:35:01.729-05:002010-09-16T13:35:01.729-05:00"Rasmussen now has the race 51-44 Ayotte.&quo..."Rasmussen now has the race 51-44 Ayotte."<br /><br />Of course Rasmussen polls only after the primary so he can show a larger-than-real lead reflecting a post-primary bump.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-30645498943472514342010-09-16T11:24:50.082-05:002010-09-16T11:24:50.082-05:00Rasmussen now has the race 51-44 Ayotte.
Maybe Ho...Rasmussen now has the race 51-44 Ayotte.<br /><br />Maybe Hodes will be able to get to 45% after all!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-18737864077578089602010-09-15T17:01:20.545-05:002010-09-15T17:01:20.545-05:00So this poll was taken right before the primaries ...So this poll was taken right before the primaries - when Republicans had two competitive Congressional races, a competitive Senate race, and a competitive gubernatorial race, while Democrats had only one contested race (NH-02)? This argues pretty strongly that Republicans can't get any more enthused than they are now, while Democrats are only now getting engaged. Ayotte had to run right for the primary and now can't get back to the middle, and she doesn't have any more voters who can start gaining enthusiasm. This is neck and neck!NRHhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12565160695480579309noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-14346125580733354772010-09-15T15:42:36.917-05:002010-09-15T15:42:36.917-05:00Polling general election numbers for a candidate e...Polling general election numbers for a candidate embroiled in a very hot primary right before the primary, or right after the primary when the victor gets a bump is likely faulty.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-80034827814625643432010-09-15T14:57:07.557-05:002010-09-15T14:57:07.557-05:00Looks like they begin with similar fav/unfav ratin...Looks like they begin with similar fav/unfav ratings. Actually this is closest I've seen Hodes in some time. The ? is if the tea partiers who voted in the primary for her opponent will really get behind the GOP candidate and if Hodes can appeal to independents.Chuck Tnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-72513911709478435412010-09-15T14:30:34.704-05:002010-09-15T14:30:34.704-05:00I think Hodes has a path to 45%.
But maybe not.
...I think Hodes has a path to 45%.<br /><br />But maybe not.<br /><br />This race is over.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com