tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post5923120007226928040..comments2024-03-26T14:01:36.240-05:00Comments on Public Policy Polling: Obama looking strongerTom Jensenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comBlogger13125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-32907094510294253812011-01-21T16:08:37.982-05:002011-01-21T16:08:37.982-05:00Jonny,
How can you say obama has nothing to do wi...Jonny,<br /><br />How can you say obama has nothing to do with unemployment? you spend trillions of dollars and it is more than 2 years and the unemployment rate is not going below 9%(remember obama saying that, it will not go above 8%). If you think at this unemployment rate, people will be enthusiastic to come out and put that sign and do the crazy things of 2008, you are not living in literalville.<br /><br />Right now, he has pulpit of presidency and he had a good 4 weeks. Just now the republicans are getting into the action in congress and you will start seeing the decline of president's number.Ranjitnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-90408088048029658192011-01-21T09:21:46.696-05:002011-01-21T09:21:46.696-05:00Absolute nonsense Ranjit --- Most intelligent rati...Absolute nonsense Ranjit --- Most intelligent rational people know Obama is not to blame for high unemployment. <br /><br />This is the mess Obama inherited and the Republicans have been in the way of moving forward at every step.<br /><br />The Republicans are the problem. <br /><br />And if 7+% unemployment is supposed to spell doom than why is he leading all GOP opponents with 10% unemployment?Jonny Vhttp://www.vimaxreview.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-12002982520070317302011-01-20T23:33:56.385-05:002011-01-20T23:33:56.385-05:00Would it be possible for you to poll approval/disa...Would it be possible for you to poll approval/disapproval of Wake County residents regarding their school board? As NCers, I'm sure you have interest in this.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-85531729617588558952011-01-20T18:41:07.892-05:002011-01-20T18:41:07.892-05:00Folks,
If the unemployment rate is anywhere above...Folks,<br /><br />If the unemployment rate is anywhere above 7% Obama will loose the election. You can break down the demographics in anyway you want and he will loose . For sake of you guys, I hope there is a hidden republican candidate who can define himself before the media does its job.Ranjitnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-46604838375979502772011-01-20T17:46:02.376-05:002011-01-20T17:46:02.376-05:00Well, if they liked the bones he's thrown '...Well, if they liked the bones he's thrown 'em so far; wait for the CATFOOD (don't choke on the Obamanible boners)!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-60941166124227885702011-01-20T15:42:26.065-05:002011-01-20T15:42:26.065-05:00"Is this poll different from the one you do f..."Is this poll different from the one you do for Kos on a weekly basis?."<br /><br />Yes, they're two separate polls. I don't know how you can compare the two when we don't ask the same questions.Dustin Ingallshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00599131416393266722noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-91230618220129834062011-01-20T15:41:04.014-05:002011-01-20T15:41:04.014-05:00Carville's firm also polled "Likely Voter...Carville's firm also polled "Likely Voters". What are Likely Voters at this point ? You can't define them right now. The only really good measure is Registered Voters. And Likely Voter polls always tend to be slightly more Republican than Registered Voter polls. That might explain the difference between Democracy Corps and PPP's results.<br /><br />BTW: Dem. Corps has Romney trailing by 2, PPP by 5, which is within the MoE.<br /><br />Palin down by "only" 10 at Dem. Corps and almost 20 at PPP is certainly due to the difference mentioned above, but PPP seems to be more consistant with other pollsters, who also show Palin down by about 20 points (see recent Marist poll).Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-24360954757117584242011-01-20T15:13:00.628-05:002011-01-20T15:13:00.628-05:00Even James Carville's polling firm shows a muc...Even James Carville's polling firm shows a much closer race than you do.<br /><br />http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/dcor011211fqCAF.pdf<br /><br />And Carville's sample has even more women, young people, and the same percentage of minorities as your sample.<br /><br />Is this poll different from the one you do for Kos on a weekly basis? It seems that your results are much worse for Obama in that poll than this national poll.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-71968605068001837532011-01-20T14:31:38.153-05:002011-01-20T14:31:38.153-05:00Obama also reached 51% in Gallup for the first tim...Obama also reached 51% in Gallup for the first time since May... and Rasmussen says he's at his best place since April. <br /><br />Lots of good news out there for Obama right now and I'm hoping it will continue to get better as the GOP makes complete asses out of themselves in the House.<br /><br />It's way too far off to tell but I'm somewhat hopeful that 2012 will be a huge Democratic wave that they can win the Presidency by a wide margin, get back the majority in the House and hold on in the Senate. <br /><br />A perfect storm of course is Sarah Palin as the GOP nominee.... I think she could make it happen for us! Go Sarah!Jonny Vhttp://www.vimaxreview.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-63397286153429982492011-01-20T14:05:25.540-05:002011-01-20T14:05:25.540-05:0048% Females, 52% Males, isnt it usually the other ...48% Females, 52% Males, isnt it usually the other way around? Possible you undersampled Women?Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06658139472418322332noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-33559546162668693082011-01-20T13:52:37.732-05:002011-01-20T13:52:37.732-05:00Did you also poll Obama's approval rating ?
I...Did you also poll Obama's approval rating ?<br /><br />If not, what do you think is the main reason why your weekly poll for DailyKos has Obama in negative territory, while almost all other current polls have Obama in positive territory ?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-49468096176762906162011-01-20T13:49:37.216-05:002011-01-20T13:49:37.216-05:00We've seen the Republicans claim a mandate whe...We've seen the Republicans claim a mandate when Bush was elected in 2000, we've seen them claim a mandate when they retook one house of Congress in 2010.<br /><br />Coming in 2012: The Republicans claiming a mandate after losing the Presidency by 5% (because its less than Obama won by in 2008.AGnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-49551520761394010012011-01-20T12:23:41.286-05:002011-01-20T12:23:41.286-05:00From my calculs, If Obama has the same % accross r...From my calculs, If Obama has the same % accross race demographics votes than KERRY did in 2004, it's enough for him to win in 2012.<br /><br />I think the white vote will be 73% in 2012 and it's conservative assuming than it was 74% in 2008 and 77% in 2004 and so declining by 3% between the 2 elections.<br /><br />But i don't think than we will have the same decline in 2012.<br /><br />1 % improve will be with Hispanics i think.<br /><br />73% White ; 13% AA ; 10% Hispanic ; 4% asian and others<br /><br />With these demographics, Obama needs only matching Kerry with white ( 41%) and he will win.<br /><br />With 58% white votes ( 1% always goes with third candidates), the GOP will have not enough.<br /><br />Your breakdown in the poll is nearly perfect.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com