tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post6476127499644367369..comments2024-03-18T06:10:07.480-05:00Comments on Public Policy Polling: Close Race in West VirginiaTom Jensenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comBlogger49125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-89249892036583990662010-10-25T17:57:08.473-05:002010-10-25T17:57:08.473-05:00when manchin ran for governer he was accused of be...when manchin ran for governer he was accused of being a republican running as a democrat now raese depicts him as a lefty. can we believe the national polls as news paper owner raese once told a reporter "i buy and sell people like you every day" long live snobby aragance.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-81264095176655961992010-09-28T15:00:04.990-05:002010-09-28T15:00:04.990-05:00I live in Morgantown, WV, and I am seeing/hearing ...I live in Morgantown, WV, and I am seeing/hearing absolutely no campaign from Manchin. Raese has radio commercials, yard signs, TV commercials, and the whole bit. I think Manchin is just counting on his name to win his campaign.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-71700984339575770312010-09-26T22:03:23.793-05:002010-09-26T22:03:23.793-05:00Are West Virginians really that gullible?? We'...Are West Virginians really that gullible?? We're falling prey to the rhetoric against Obama. He's the ONLY president in decades who is trying to protect the middle class from extinction! The middle class - THAT'S US!! It's the lack of support from bought-and-paid-for Dems and the Republican aristocrats who are holding back the economy and real reform in Washington. Open your eyes!! Do you like our government being controlled by banks, insurance companies, pharmaceuticals, oil companies, etc., etc. If not for Obama, the BP oil spill expenses would have been borne by the TAXPAYERS. And the bank bailout was a product of the waning days of Bush and the ex-bankers running the Treasury. We need legislators who are going to support Obama's reforms, or we'll continue on our path toward an "upper class" and a "servant class".richierichnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-8889379847790151732010-09-23T12:01:01.487-05:002010-09-23T12:01:01.487-05:00The last thing West Virginia and the rest of the c...The last thing West Virginia and the rest of the country needs is another Obama rubber stamp in Washington. The democrats have proven beyond a doubt that they are out to destroy the America the Greatest Generation fought to give us.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-43183949373409066482010-09-22T15:08:10.306-05:002010-09-22T15:08:10.306-05:00West Virginians are tired of our politicians talki...West Virginians are tired of our politicians talking like WV Democrats in the state and governing like New England Democrats in Washington. It doesn't surprise me a bit to see Raese, despite his high negatives, giving Joe a run for his money. Lookout Mike Oliverio and Nick Rahal!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-5848265884031899492010-09-22T08:35:58.780-05:002010-09-22T08:35:58.780-05:00I live in WV and this poll reflects the general se...I live in WV and this poll reflects the general sentiment. Manchin's ads are targeted at Raese personally but say nothing on policy. Raese's ads are simple - He wont be a rubber stamp for Barack Obama. If Manchin loses, and I hope he does, it will be a referendum on Obama, not Manchin.John Fnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-20128711270102941752010-09-22T08:34:19.622-05:002010-09-22T08:34:19.622-05:00WV Resident here. As for commercials, I have seen ...WV Resident here. As for commercials, I have seen three, there is a Raese commercial that runs constantly linking Manchin to Obama calling him a rubber stamp for the Obama agenda basically. This ran for weeks before there was anything from Manchin. Then I saw ONE from Manchin that basically whined "Raese is attacking me, just like he did Byrd" but he took no stand on any issues. Then Manchin ran a second one in which he took no stand on any issues and attacked Raese. But I have only seen them once, and I am home all day, soooo noone else is seeing them either. I see no signs on the road for Manchin, I see Raese signs in yards. You wouldn't even know the guy was running!MrsClarknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-59129211483173801362010-09-21T22:17:55.856-05:002010-09-21T22:17:55.856-05:00I would like to reply to "wt":
"Not...I would like to reply to "wt":<br />"Not to engage the sock puppets too much, but the Mountain Party is apparently an affiliate of the Green Party.<br />Do people in West Virginia know that? It looks like Johnson took 4.5% of the vote as a Green candidate, not the Mountain Party candidate. A pretty hefty number though."<br />http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jesse_Johnson_(politician)<br /><br />First of all the Mountain Party is a stand alone party. ONE of THREE official WV Political parties for the last decade in WV. Check out the WV Secretary of States website if you can't believe that.<br /><br />2nd. West Virginia knows that the Mountain Party is an AFFILIATE of the Green Party, it's public knowledge. Nothing to be ashamed of?? Do you know what that means? It means that because of the Mtn. Party, the Green party was given a Presidential line in the 2008 election.<br /><br />The Mountain Party, by virtue of Jesse Johnson running for Gov. in 2008, received almost 35,000 votes from West Virginians. A third party record for the State of WV and NATIONALLY for that election cycle.<br /><br />3rd. Wiki? PLEASE. Do you know that anyone can add or edit those wiki pages? They are done by volunteers, if you rely on Wiki for your reliable info, lol, then you are in a sad state.<br /><br />Please, the next time you want to ignorantly spread info about someone, contact them first?<br />See if Manchin call you back, or Raese?<br /><br />Here is Jesse's contact info, also known to the public: www.jesse4ussenate.org Face Book: jesse4ussenate; 304.581.3005. Give him a call. And, I am CERTAIN he will speak with you directly to clear up any misconceptions you might have. Thank you!Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12889850470357297881noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-81914028084955278442010-09-21T20:37:37.320-05:002010-09-21T20:37:37.320-05:00It's a bit more complicated than just coal. A ...It's a bit more complicated than just coal. A lot of working class whites feel like Democrats don't fight for union guys. Instead they emphasize climate change, immigration, abortion and are against guns and Christianity. The Democratic coalition includes a number of different groups with completely divergent interests. These guys feel like they've given to everyone else and ignored them.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11928675187803337574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-81616818246630807422010-09-21T17:51:03.300-05:002010-09-21T17:51:03.300-05:00Fascinating.
These poll results are even more fav...Fascinating.<br /><br />These poll results are even more favorable to Raese than Rasmussen's. That in itself is surprising.<br /><br />Then again, PPP has a record of picking out imminent Republican wins even when Rasmussen and other pollsters miss what's coming.The Interesting Timeshttp://the-futurologist.blogspot.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-28021006490960849262010-09-21T17:15:46.815-05:002010-09-21T17:15:46.815-05:00Not to engage the sock puppets too much, but the M...Not to engage the sock puppets too much, but the Mountain Party is apparently an affiliate of the Green Party.<br /><br />Do people in West Virginia know that? It looks like Johnson took 4.5% of the vote as a Green candidate, not the Mountain Party candidate. A pretty hefty number though.<br /><br />http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jesse_Johnson_(politician)<br /><br />Even if he's peeling off 1 or 2 percent though, that could help Raese for sure. So maybe he should be included next time? Not that I think it would change the numbers dramatically.wthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04343481782148411302noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-19939876736786322552010-09-21T16:32:33.947-05:002010-09-21T16:32:33.947-05:00Are you Jesse Johnson people like the Alex Snitker...Are you Jesse Johnson people like the Alex Snitker astroturfers who won't give up until you're included in a poll, only to show you're polling at like 1%?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-59952760141283195372010-09-21T15:41:03.539-05:002010-09-21T15:41:03.539-05:00The problem with national Dems in WV can be expres...The problem with national Dems in WV can be expressed pretty much in one word.<br /><br />COAL.M. Simonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09508934110558197375noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-67529846819383012642010-09-21T15:20:54.422-05:002010-09-21T15:20:54.422-05:00Rasmussen has gotten it wrong. Now PPP has gotten...Rasmussen has gotten it wrong. Now PPP has gotten it wrong. Rasmussen deliberately chose to get it wrong in their latest poll. I wonder if PPP is any better than Rasmussen? <br /><br />Why do I say this? Rasmussen inaccurately chose to only include Manchin (D) and Raese (R) in its previous polls. I called the Director of Communications to alert her to the fact that they failed to include Jesse Johnson of the Mountain Party, a very strong third-party contender for this race.<br /><br />She and her staff were informed of the following information: a) Jesse received 4.5% of the vote in 2008 when he ran for Governor; b) a recent poll by the Charleston Daily Mail had Jesse polling in 2nd place with 36% of the vote; c) Jesse recently received the endorsement of legendary Democratic congressman / Secretary of State / advisor to Presitend Truman, Ken Hechler, which made big news; d) though unquantifiable, Jesse is receiving several times the press and support that he did in 2008.<br /><br />Rasmussen deliberately ignored this information. Will PPP do the right thing and include Jesse Johnson of the Mountain Party in its next poll for the U.S. Senate race from WV?Joelnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-5122286988676694852010-09-21T14:38:17.321-05:002010-09-21T14:38:17.321-05:00"Not true. His polls have an excellent track ..."Not true. His polls have an excellent track record in predicting actual election results. Look it up."<br /><br />Not as good as ours, though. And that has little bearing, though, on the quality of their issue polling.Dustin Ingallshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00599131416393266722noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-67281625493884196922010-09-21T14:23:11.267-05:002010-09-21T14:23:11.267-05:00"Was your poll taken before or after (or duri..."Was your poll taken before or after (or during?) the revelations that the Manchin administration is under federal investigation?"<br /><br />That news has been out for a long while, though a few more details trickled out this week after the poll was taken.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-55164977111761462152010-09-21T13:52:55.050-05:002010-09-21T13:52:55.050-05:00Speaking as a West Virginian I can say that I'...Speaking as a West Virginian I can say that I'm glad this is turning into an actual race. For all of my life, it's always been Byrd & the Democrats; it's time for someone else to have a chance.<br />I actually worked for one of the companies that Raese co-owns and I can honestly say that he IS a good businessman. I'm not on his payroll now and haven't been for about 10 years, but he has people working for him that have been around for 25, 30 or even 40 years. That's not exactly common anymore. I think he needs a chance to prove that a conservative can do just as good a job or better than just another Byrd protege.rowdygirlnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-30057331931738360962010-09-21T13:51:27.911-05:002010-09-21T13:51:27.911-05:00Anonymous Anonymous said...
"A Rasmusse...Anonymous Anonymous said...<br /><br /> "A Rasmussen poll showed that likely voters identify more closely with Palin's views than Obama's by a 52 to 40% margin."<br /><br /> You can stop after the third word. Rasmussen's horse race polls are pften problematic, but his issue questions are downrated biased and loaded. They wouldn't pass Polling 101.<br />----------------<br />Not true. His polls have an excellent track record in predicting actual election results. Look it up.<br /><br />Rassmussen polls ofter differ from other polls because he uses a tight likely voter screen, while many other polls use all registered voters or even all adults. For this election identifying likely voters is essential because of the vast difference in enthusiasm between the two parties.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-70426449272650982202010-09-21T13:51:13.267-05:002010-09-21T13:51:13.267-05:00Was your poll taken before or after (or during?) t...Was your poll taken before or after (or during?) the revelations that the Manchin administration is under federal investigation?<br /><br />http://www.wsaz.com/news/headlines/103348024.htmlChristian Libertyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04842885802414436051noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-1170966425803533272010-09-21T13:24:10.569-05:002010-09-21T13:24:10.569-05:00"I wondered if Moore-Capito is kicking hersel..."I wondered if Moore-Capito is kicking herself for not going for it, but she's 'establishment' and might not be the best fit this year."<br /><br />She can win the 2014 seat when Rockefeller retires, as expected, so she was probably wise to wait for a more provident contest for which she could better prepare.<br /><br /> Even if for some reason Rockefeller were to try to hold on, she (or another candidate) could likely defeat him in 2014. The 2014 senate class will be contested in more conservative states than the 2010 class and her moderate positions make her a better contrast to Rockefeller (or whatever leftist extremist the base puts up in 2014) rather than against Manchin. <br /><br />still, the question of Moore-Capito as too moderate and too establishment would remain in 2014. By 2014, we would be seven years into the 8-9 year long bear market that began in 2007. social mood would be, if anything, more bearish than today and politics would likely be more polarized rather than less. If she were to seek the senate seat, her biggest competition would likely be from her right rather than in November.Christian Libertyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04842885802414436051noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-43011499714147224022010-09-21T13:17:23.489-05:002010-09-21T13:17:23.489-05:00"Who pays for these Polls? Raese?"
No o..."Who pays for these Polls? Raese?"<br /><br />No one. It's an independent poll financed by our own profits from our private client work.<br /><br />"Who writes the Polling scripts? Raese?"<br /><br />We do, with suggestions from our blog readership.Dustin Ingallshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00599131416393266722noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-35968102295711094342010-09-21T13:03:28.145-05:002010-09-21T13:03:28.145-05:00"A Rasmussen poll showed that likely voters i..."A Rasmussen poll showed that likely voters identify more closely with Palin's views than Obama's by a 52 to 40% margin."<br /><br />You can stop after the third word. Rasmussen's horse race polls are pften problematic, but his issue questions are downrated biased and loaded. They wouldn't pass Polling 101.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-16784702606676689802010-09-21T13:01:31.143-05:002010-09-21T13:01:31.143-05:00I think a lot of Democrats will take comfort in th...I think a lot of Democrats will take comfort in the fact that you left out Jesse Johnson, Mountain Party. He will siphon 5, maybe even 10 from Raese. <br /><br />Not, not 5-10%. 5-10. :)wthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04343481782148411302noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-19113761164317706022010-09-21T12:58:53.845-05:002010-09-21T12:58:53.845-05:00I am stunned by your poll as well. I can understan...I am stunned by your poll as well. I can understand that West Virginians don't like Congress or Obama but Manchin is not them and has made it clear that he hasn't governed like them (the U.S. Chamber of Congress endorsement makes that point as well). In the end doesn't his favoribility ultimately trump all?George Templetonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02796500446725126606noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-82415293732149287212010-09-21T12:41:42.339-05:002010-09-21T12:41:42.339-05:00I like Anonymous that said, I'll quote to get ...I like Anonymous that said, I'll quote to get it exactly right:<br />"Something smells. And I think it's you poll."Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12889850470357297881noreply@blogger.com