tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post7654459763953656093..comments2024-03-26T14:01:36.240-05:00Comments on Public Policy Polling: Joe Manchin and Robert Byrd's LegacyTom Jensenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-53263260161973137332010-09-23T23:14:01.112-05:002010-09-23T23:14:01.112-05:00The whole poll is pretty colored...Second question...The whole poll is pretty colored...Second question was the up/down on Obama's health care bill - which they hate in WV - and which nationalizes the voters' minds. Try leading with a question about support for Manchin's coal mining safety initiatives and see how things change. It's straight from Yes, Minister...<br /><br />http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2yhN1IDLQjoAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-2257223222127048642010-09-23T08:06:59.404-05:002010-09-23T08:06:59.404-05:00"Good idea and I'll bet you the Manchin c..."Good idea and I'll bet you the Manchin campaign will begin to do this."<br /><br />I'll collect my consulting fee from them after the election.<br /><br />"Byrd's legacy is massive amounts of appropriations for the state. So this might be a bad year to be the guy talking about how much you love pork."<br /><br />That's true, and I thought about that when I was writing this, but I don't necessarily think you have to be specific. Ads aren't usually sophisticated, because honestly, most voters aren't. They're designed to give voters visual and psychological cues that resonate in a short amount of time, so they're best kept simple and blunt.<br /><br />"It's possible that turning out more Democrats here might turn out more Raese voters."<br /><br />The goal isn't to turn out more voters but to frame Manchin's candidacy so that voters think of him as Byrd's logical successor. But certainly if Manchin's ground operation (whatever that consists of) can squeeze every possible voter out of the few blue counties, it can only help.Dustin Ingallshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00599131416393266722noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-26754221259964486862010-09-22T23:26:54.928-05:002010-09-22T23:26:54.928-05:00I think Manchin has gotten behind events, here. R...I think Manchin has gotten behind events, here. Raese has been running a surprisingly great campaign and is probably well on his way toward defining Manchin as a 'rubber stamp' if he goes to Washington. After all, the replacement senator he picked has cast a party line vote in every case. I almost wonder if it would be worth him resigning as Gov to go 'all in'?Zornorphhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18142542507273109059noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-46775875234820422302010-09-22T19:32:09.687-05:002010-09-22T19:32:09.687-05:00Are you the same guy who ran Martha Coakley's ...Are you the same guy who ran Martha Coakley's campaign hugging the corpse of Teddy Kennedy?<br /><br />How did that work out?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-2759342876296529862010-09-22T19:29:04.371-05:002010-09-22T19:29:04.371-05:00Are you the same guy who orchestrated the Paul Wel...Are you the same guy who orchestrated the Paul Wellstone Pep Rally funeral?<br /><br />How did that work out?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-80510447646156015302010-09-22T19:23:25.611-05:002010-09-22T19:23:25.611-05:00Easier to say you will continue Byrd's legacy ...Easier to say you will continue Byrd's legacy than to be specific about it. <br /><br />Byrd's legacy is massive amounts of appropriations for the state. So this might be a bad year to be the guy talking about how much you love pork.wthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04343481782148411302noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-54364990333748477462010-09-22T16:50:08.094-05:002010-09-22T16:50:08.094-05:00Manchin has a +25% approval rating, unheard of thi...Manchin has a +25% approval rating, unheard of this year. He's losing to a guy 24% of voters have no opinion of. This is a really bad poll for the Democrats, because it's one of the few McCain did better than Bush. I doubt he can raise his approval ratings. <br /><br />I think Patty Murray, Russ Feingold, Barbara Boxer, Dick Blumenthal, and others can gain poll points between now and election day because their states have so many Democrats.<br /><br />Democrats have a 14% likely voter advantage. If any of the above got anywhere near that they'd win in a walk. Most would beg for half that. It's possible that turning out more Democrats here might turn out more Raese voters. This race that is going to go more Republican as we get closer to election day. I don't know of any other race that you can book that, but I'm certain it will here.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11928675187803337574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-67624600963577852692010-09-22T16:04:13.145-05:002010-09-22T16:04:13.145-05:00Good idea and I'll bet you the Manchin campaig...Good idea and I'll bet you the Manchin campaign will begin to do this.Chuck Tnoreply@blogger.com