tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post8618052208545727278..comments2024-03-26T14:01:36.240-05:00Comments on Public Policy Polling: Our Last Set of PollsTom Jensenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comBlogger29125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-31971983515924090722010-11-10T09:27:09.420-05:002010-11-10T09:27:09.420-05:00We heard reports from locals in RI that PPP was ca...We heard reports from locals in RI that PPP was calling about the gov race the last week of the campaign. <br /><br />1 - Confirm / deny? <br /><br />2 - Results? <br /><br />Gotta say, PPP, RI is a crazy, mixed-up political landscape. Really worth a look just as a study case in counter-trend politics. We just swept in a progressive wave across the state.Frymaster Speckhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13910387303248026712noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-19246390453982646012010-10-27T16:11:41.924-05:002010-10-27T16:11:41.924-05:00How about MA-2? I think Tom Wesley has a real sho...How about MA-2? I think Tom Wesley has a real shot to beat Richard Neal! This could be one of those surprises we hear about on Election Night!Johnnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-29927234568892046982010-10-19T15:11:07.869-05:002010-10-19T15:11:07.869-05:00It is absolutely inaccurate to say that polls on t...It is absolutely inaccurate to say that polls on the Maine gubernatorial race have been "all over the place." Instead, they have been remarkably consistent throughout as the race has developed.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-47080566815326570692010-10-19T14:25:16.547-05:002010-10-19T14:25:16.547-05:00Polls in the Maine gubernatorial race have actuall...Polls in the Maine gubernatorial race have actually been very, very consistent. Up until late September, all the fall polls - from three different companies - gave LePage a 14-18 point lead. Then two straight polls had it within one point. Now the past three polls, from three different companies again, have given LePage a 3-6 point lead. That shows remarkable consistency; they are not, as the commenter above said, "all over the place". Indeed, all the polls conducted at the same points in time have been very similar.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-32772689745214253572010-10-19T13:55:00.367-05:002010-10-19T13:55:00.367-05:00I would have voted for Kentucky if it were on the ...I would have voted for Kentucky if it were on the list. Beating Rand Paul seems quite possible.Jonny Vhttp://www.vimaxreview.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-33642368753123314962010-10-19T12:35:45.950-05:002010-10-19T12:35:45.950-05:00There have been two(!) post primary polls in Vermo...There have been two(!) post primary polls in Vermont. is Shumlin winning, or was it a primary bounce? Vote Vermont so we can see!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-58472012750189321362010-10-19T11:42:05.837-05:002010-10-19T11:42:05.837-05:00I'd love to see a poll of the South Carolina g...I'd love to see a poll of the South Carolina governor's race -- I suspect that Nikki Haley is less of a sure winner than many are presuming. I also think that John Spratt is in more trouble than most folks think.Robnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-45648892848001076952010-10-19T11:28:42.726-05:002010-10-19T11:28:42.726-05:00I just want to say that you guys rock!!!!!!!! Nuff...I just want to say that you guys rock!!!!!!!! Nuff said.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-2904404760841316752010-10-19T08:26:29.818-05:002010-10-19T08:26:29.818-05:00Dustin Ingalls said...
South Carolina--there are...Dustin Ingalls said... <br /><br />South Carolina--there are signs that the Democrats are gaining"<br /><br />Surely you're not talking about Alvin Greene. ;)<br /><br />Good point, Dustin! Though I wouldn't be surprised if he moves from 11% to 15% by election day! :)Chuck Tnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-62454804965581611552010-10-19T01:13:13.859-05:002010-10-19T01:13:13.859-05:00I agree about the statewide offices in Vermont.
T...I agree about the statewide offices in Vermont.<br /><br />They are very interesting statewide offices in Connecticut too: Attorney General, Secretary of State and State Comptroller.<br /><br />Maybe some data about the statewide offices?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-21759963707295727072010-10-19T00:58:37.591-05:002010-10-19T00:58:37.591-05:00"South Carolina--there are signs that the Dem..."South Carolina--there are signs that the Democrats are gaining"<br /><br />Surely you're not talking about Alvin Greene. ;)<br /><br />"I'd like to see a poll on Barney Frank's seat."<br /><br />Not from us.Dustin Ingallshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00599131416393266722noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-73393933640340908242010-10-18T23:09:09.413-05:002010-10-18T23:09:09.413-05:00I just wanted to offer my thanks and gratitude tha...I just wanted to offer my thanks and gratitude that your organization continues to run a blog, engage commenters, discuss your polling methods, and perform a public service while, at the same time, running a business that I'm sure must be crazy right now.<br /><br />I occasionally disagree with the results of the polling based on my hunches or gut reactions, but can't argue with the consistently accurate results you guys have had lately. Great work.wthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04343481782148411302noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-74636988924186960152010-10-18T22:56:38.798-05:002010-10-18T22:56:38.798-05:00Why isn't Indiana on here? We're eastern t...Why isn't Indiana on here? We're eastern time (at least most of the state is)...Darshhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05605837060281181405noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-78456888145707249392010-10-18T22:49:36.771-05:002010-10-18T22:49:36.771-05:00Connecticut, Maine, Rhode Island.
Connecticut is ...Connecticut, Maine, Rhode Island.<br /><br />Connecticut is an obvious choice, with moderately competitive Senate and Gov races. New Hampshire, similarly, though less so. Maine, Rhode Island, and Massachusetts 3-way races.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-70573833887505463702010-10-18T22:06:05.331-05:002010-10-18T22:06:05.331-05:00Can you poll statewide races like NY Attorney Gene...Can you poll statewide races like NY Attorney General?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-91858813410336952862010-10-18T21:54:04.712-05:002010-10-18T21:54:04.712-05:00Polls in Maine have been all over the place in the...Polls in Maine have been all over the place in the gubernatorial race. Has the Democratic candidate peaked around 30%? Also looks like Scontras in CD-1 is closing the gap. Did the Pingree-Sossman-Barney Frank trip to the Virgin Islands make a difference?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-53723749152829880932010-10-18T21:17:49.153-05:002010-10-18T21:17:49.153-05:00I'd like to see a poll on Barney Frank's s...I'd like to see a poll on Barney Frank's seat. Thank youAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-34135309542439090142010-10-18T18:54:48.453-05:002010-10-18T18:54:48.453-05:00I would say don't poll Delaware--Every poll sh...I would say don't poll Delaware--Every poll shows O'Donnell down by double digits,she isn't going to suddenly do something to tighten this up and the at large race seems to be good for the Dems. In fact DE and NY are probably going to be the two best states the Dems will have on election night. <br />I would recommend:<br />Rhode Island--a competitve governors race<br />South Carolina--there are signs that the Democrats are gaining<br />Vermont--another competitive governor's race.Chuck Tnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-17675309200781889952010-10-18T18:54:28.901-05:002010-10-18T18:54:28.901-05:00Are you willing to poll downballot statewide races...Are you willing to poll downballot statewide races of whatever wins?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-2849561973574573852010-10-18T18:52:55.272-05:002010-10-18T18:52:55.272-05:00New Hampshire only has two house seats, and the on...New Hampshire only has two house seats, and the only polling in those has been from the execrable UNH Survey Center's Andy Smith. It would be great to get some reliable looks at them, if possible (and with such a huge slate of polls for that weekend already I can appreciate the difficulty in adding the in-state division).NRHhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12565160695480579309noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-1300814776345075212010-10-18T18:45:44.831-05:002010-10-18T18:45:44.831-05:00The only ones polling Georgia consistently are the...The only ones polling Georgia consistently are the conservative InsiderAdvantage and Rasmussen, we need a different perspective.<br /><br />IA poll on 9.27 had Deal-Barnes, 45-37. On 10.7, it had Deal-Barnes, 49-41.<br /><br />And yet, today they <a href="http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_1017_1650.aspx" rel="nofollow">say</a> <i>The last IA survey showed Barnes slowly improving his numbers among the critical independent swing vote. The trend was not necessarily reflected in the top line results of that poll once the weightings were done for other demographic groups.</i><br /><br />Seems kind of silly that independents improved in 10 days, but the margins stayed the same...Jhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18116121761413049785noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-71892358215108247402010-10-18T18:04:57.851-05:002010-10-18T18:04:57.851-05:00Connecticut
Delaware
Massachusetts
Vermont
Maine
N...Connecticut<br />Delaware<br />Massachusetts<br />Vermont<br />Maine<br />New HampshireAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-18811010314713408742010-10-18T17:59:36.641-05:002010-10-18T17:59:36.641-05:00so will polls be released every day starting on th...so will polls be released every day starting on the 28th or will there not be any on weekends?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-13938994173910754392010-10-18T17:49:02.019-05:002010-10-18T17:49:02.019-05:00Would Arkansas be one of the non eastern time zone...Would Arkansas be one of the non eastern time zoners<br />in advance gov race i want to see some non ras/reuters numbersAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-55662953357539062232010-10-18T17:31:35.390-05:002010-10-18T17:31:35.390-05:00We likely would not poll any House races except in...We likely would not poll any House races except in At Large states. Texas and Kentucky will be included in the non-eastern time zone vote that will begin Wednesday night.Tom Jensenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.com