tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post8795688063082030397..comments2024-03-18T06:10:07.480-05:00Comments on Public Policy Polling: Your Florida ClueTom Jensenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comBlogger15125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-54695122817318870702008-09-30T10:56:00.000-05:002008-09-30T10:56:00.000-05:00I'd say Obama +2 based both on this hint and the e...I'd say Obama +2 based both on this hint and the earlier one that the economy has really moved up as the top issue by FL voters.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-20451759896806184362008-09-30T09:45:00.000-05:002008-09-30T09:45:00.000-05:00Obama +3.Obama +3.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-55015325265793823962008-09-30T07:48:00.000-05:002008-09-30T07:48:00.000-05:00Obama +5Solely on the basis that Tom is clearly ve...Obama +5<BR/><BR/>Solely on the basis that Tom is clearly very pleased with himself (as are we all)p smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04412693505325590969noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-91849488304587238182008-09-30T06:38:00.000-05:002008-09-30T06:38:00.000-05:00I predict a tie.I predict a tie.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-40313490372848523242008-09-30T06:14:00.000-05:002008-09-30T06:14:00.000-05:00Barr +4Barr +4TJhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08868894707479040202noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-61111801936715725062008-09-30T04:43:00.000-05:002008-09-30T04:43:00.000-05:00Obama +1Obama +1Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-15850231938709294152008-09-29T23:56:00.000-05:002008-09-29T23:56:00.000-05:00Obama +2?Obama +2?disconformityhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01329461480276128136noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-47976990811763674112008-09-29T23:54:00.000-05:002008-09-29T23:54:00.000-05:00Here is a guess that is NOT based on the tease but...Here is a guess that is NOT based on the tease but on a verified poll result PPP gave out today NC +2 Obama. I heard a noted specialist in Southern politics comment on how VA, FLA, and NC move in relation to one another as of 2008. Essentially, this expert said VA would poll 3 pts better for Dems than FLA and VA would poll 5 pts better for Dems than in NC. So since PPP pegs Obama at +2 in NC today, using this expert's formula Obama should be ahead in FLA by 4 pts.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-48201695570726164192008-09-29T23:47:00.000-05:002008-09-29T23:47:00.000-05:00McCain +2. The problem with the tease is that the...McCain +2. The problem with the tease is that their is not enough information to gauge the impact of a 10 pt drop in Palin's favs/unfavs. Without something to measure against (for instance, when her favs/unfavs went from +10 to +5 McCain's lead went from +5 to +3) it really is nothing more than guessing blindfolded. At least with more info one could make a more educated guess, not so much with the limited info provided.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-19317766316908424072008-09-29T23:28:00.000-05:002008-09-29T23:28:00.000-05:00I'm guessing McCain +2I'm guessing McCain +2Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-90041195834696761062008-09-29T22:58:00.000-05:002008-09-29T22:58:00.000-05:00Hah, why is Tom J. a "prick"? Just because he give...Hah, why is Tom J. a "prick"? Just because he gives you results that you don't like to hear, Mr. Anonymouse?<BR/><BR/>PPP's reputation seems to be <A HREF="http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/pollster-ratings-v311.html" REL="nofollow">doing just fine</A>, thank you very much.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-46812589540372131902008-09-29T22:03:00.000-05:002008-09-29T22:03:00.000-05:00Obama up by +4Obama up by +4jr1886https://www.blogger.com/profile/03162835485455843393noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-84693460973425017282008-09-29T21:19:00.000-05:002008-09-29T21:19:00.000-05:00this guy tom jensen is a prick, i hope they have O...this guy tom jensen is a prick, <BR/><BR/>i hope they have Obama winning virgina, colorado, florida, and north carolina in their last poll before election day,<BR/><BR/>that way when McCain wins this polling agency can go out of business maybe change its name like insider advantage did lolAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-90548887995479148962008-09-29T20:49:00.000-05:002008-09-29T20:49:00.000-05:00McCain +1?McCain +1?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-89154670794312656792008-09-29T20:28:00.000-05:002008-09-29T20:28:00.000-05:00I'm going to field a guess and say that Obama is l...I'm going to field a guess and say that Obama is leading by 3 points, and if I'm right, you guys have to poll Utah just to be thorough :PAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com