tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post3073806988995295110..comments2024-03-26T14:01:36.240-05:00Comments on Public Policy Polling: Deeds continues to close inTom Jensenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comBlogger10125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-89074434304191823872009-09-29T12:06:42.580-05:002009-09-29T12:06:42.580-05:00"Red herring and credibility alert! Rasmussen..."Red herring and credibility alert! Rasmussen is a right-wing Republican pollster who skews hard to the Republican's favor."<br /><br />Notice I also mentioned SurveyUSA.<br /><br />All the pollsters are in a conspiracy against Obama.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-60103702394530395722009-09-29T11:32:46.194-05:002009-09-29T11:32:46.194-05:00Rasmussen is one of the most accurate polls out th...Rasmussen is one of the most accurate polls out there.<br /><br />They had McDonnell leading Deeds by just 2% two weeks ago and now PPP comes out with a poll showing McDonnell with a 5% lead.<br /><br />I guess that makes PPP a Zionist, neo-con poll.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-3211294019057642142009-09-29T11:30:45.941-05:002009-09-29T11:30:45.941-05:00How come we can get McDonnell's thesis but not...How come we can get McDonnell's thesis but not Obama's? Just sayin.Ryanhttp://ryanunderdown.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-81248338590872958102009-09-29T11:22:03.740-05:002009-09-29T11:22:03.740-05:00"Must not have enough Obama voters in the sam..."Must not have enough Obama voters in the sample."<br /><br />Uh no, you have an electorate that can't remember.<br /><br />You have the voters saying they voted for Kaine over Kilgore by 12% (not by 5%-6%) back in 2005.<br /><br />2008 was the best year for Democrats in the past decade and to have more Democrats in this sample than last year . . . it's just silly.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-90702931290986358922009-09-29T11:18:48.155-05:002009-09-29T11:18:48.155-05:00"Rasmussen had Obama at 47/49 in its last Vir..."Rasmussen had Obama at 47/49 in its last Virginia poll."<br /><br />Red herring and credibility alert! Rasmussen is a right-wing Republican pollster who skews hard to the Republican's favor. Just look at pollster.com to compare his results to all the others. He is far out of the mainstream re: Obama approval/favorable. A Republican relying on a skewed-to-the-Republicans poll is quite disingenuous. You can safely add several points to any Democratic numbers from any Rasmussen poll to get a more accurate assessment. Which is shown by looking at similar polls. Republicans love to quote Rasmussen because he is so skewed...but doesn't reflect reality. The short of it...extremist and sexist McDonnell will be toast come November. Deal with it.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-13660491306069657232009-09-29T11:05:15.074-05:002009-09-29T11:05:15.074-05:00I love the explanations you give for the data here...I love the explanations you give for the data here; I also love the fact that PPP usually polls candidates and opinions about individuals, not such nebulous, easy-to-influence questions as "what do you think of Obama's plan for sand and gravel"? I'm curious whether you've seen David Moore's book about the polling industry, and if so, what you think. I'm also hoping you'll stop using "disinterested" to mean "uninterested" ("disinterested" once meant "impartial," "without a vested interest in an outcome," "able to judge fairly," though it gets used in other ways so often that it might just be time to avoid the word). But it's a small complaint. I enjoy the blog.Stephaniehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16317845026300261880noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-24140634565547133792009-09-29T10:52:40.815-05:002009-09-29T10:52:40.815-05:00Party ID is not a fixed value. It is what people s...Party ID is not a fixed value. It is what people say it is at the time of the survey.sjchttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13605422843227535429noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-44541873710430868982009-09-29T10:50:24.155-05:002009-09-29T10:50:24.155-05:00Tom,
We'll see. SurveyUSA should have their ...Tom,<br /><br />We'll see. SurveyUSA should have their Virginia numbers out tomorrow. Obama was at 42/54 in its last VA poll, though he might have improved since then. We'll see.<br /><br />Rasmussen had Obama at 47/49 in its last Virginia poll. <br /><br />If you've got Obama in the positive side, you may be the only one of your IVF counterparts to show such a result.<br /><br />So yes, the game can be played multiple ways.<br /><br />Either way, Deeds appears to be toast.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-60413601466909506502009-09-29T10:31:09.650-05:002009-09-29T10:31:09.650-05:00We also have an electorate that voted for Obama by...We also have an electorate that voted for Obama by 3 when he actually won the state by 6. Must not have enough Obama voters in the sample.<br /><br />You can play that game both ways.Tom Jensenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-60619822670273125252009-09-29T10:29:39.701-05:002009-09-29T10:29:39.701-05:00Looks like you have too many Democrats and Indeped...Looks like you have too many Democrats and Indepedents in the sample and not enough Republicans.<br /><br />D: 37%<br />R: 29%<br />I: 34%<br /><br />Virginia's exit polls last year were:<br /><br />D: 39%<br />R: 33%<br />I: 28%Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com