tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post6931071418477933436..comments2024-03-26T14:01:36.240-05:00Comments on Public Policy Polling: Will the Libertarians do this well?Tom Jensenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-2294453637405231012008-07-09T12:56:00.000-05:002008-07-09T12:56:00.000-05:00It would be interesting if you could compare past ...It would be interesting if you could compare past Libertarian/3rd party candidate polling data in NC from June thorugh November and see if they are following the same trend.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-82868059578342297912008-07-09T12:21:00.000-05:002008-07-09T12:21:00.000-05:00One trend that I've noticed is that third party ca...One trend that I've noticed is that third party candidates tend to get far more support in summer polls than they do as the election approaches, as disenchanted voters flock back to their party. It happened with Wallace, Anderson, Perot, and Nader; it will probably happen for Barr as well.<BR/><BR/>I'm guessing that Barr will win ~2-3% of the vote on election day.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-67342100116408490832008-07-09T11:20:00.000-05:002008-07-09T11:20:00.000-05:00One comment on the Rasmussen congressional "approv...One comment on the Rasmussen congressional "approval" poll. He didn't actually ask the "approve/disapprove" question. He asked the "excellent/good/fair/poor" question. While excellent + good add to 9%, it seems likely that at least some of the 36% that said "fair" would say "approve" on the two part question. Certainly, congress isn't getting great ratings, but 9% is probably not a true measure. Even Rasmussen has commented that a two part question may have gotten around 25% "approve".Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com