tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post6962273480491541867..comments2024-03-26T14:01:36.240-05:00Comments on Public Policy Polling: TX Gov remains competitiveTom Jensenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-27866124824667552532010-09-09T12:35:32.534-05:002010-09-09T12:35:32.534-05:00"if it were registered voters would there be ..."if it were registered voters would there be any change?"<br /><br />Wouldn't know, because we screen out any non-likely voters right from the start. It's not a matter of weighting based on guesses.<br /><br />"Did you poll the generic party ballot for TX State Legislature?"<br /><br />No.<br /><br />"Is the reduced support for Perry trickling down to any down-ballot races?"<br /><br />The only down-ballot race we polled was Lt. Gov., and as Tom noted, the Republican is up big there.Dustin Ingallshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00599131416393266722noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-28334018388280278652010-09-09T00:12:51.703-05:002010-09-09T00:12:51.703-05:00If the race is this close now, the third party can...If the race is this close now, the third party candidates are really going to become a factor in this race. I don't see Shafto, the Green, as playing much of a role after the huge scandal with the Green petitions. However, Kathie Glass' role definitely is up in the air. She is the Libertarian candidate who is actively running to Perry's right. I would expect to see disenchanted KBH supporters to fall into White's camp, but the disenchanted Medina voters are a bit more out of reach for the Democrat. In that case, Glass could swing the election to White if the ultra-conservatives swing to Glass.Danny Shttp://independentpoliticalreport.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-85531674301490651262010-09-08T17:46:16.060-05:002010-09-08T17:46:16.060-05:00Did you poll the generic party ballot for TX State...Did you poll the generic party ballot for TX State Legislature? Is the reduced support for Perry trickling down to any down-ballot races?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-91456686260844360982010-09-08T16:24:25.266-05:002010-09-08T16:24:25.266-05:00if it were registered voters would there be any ch...if it were registered voters would there be any change?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-49981054667665299352010-09-08T15:29:49.923-05:002010-09-08T15:29:49.923-05:00"Any insight in the shift? Change in methodol..."Any insight in the shift? Change in methodology or just Dems losing favor?"<br /><br />Yeah, as we noted, we switched to a likely voter model. Prior to last month, we had been polling only registered voters who had voted in at least one of the last three general elections.Dustin Ingallshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00599131416393266722noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-62970857342328518822010-09-08T13:55:07.761-05:002010-09-08T13:55:07.761-05:00Big shift in party ID from last time. You had R 43...Big shift in party ID from last time. You had R 43% D 37% I 20% (R +6) and now R 47% D 30% I 23% (R +17). Any insight in the shift? Change in methodology or just Dems losing favor?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com