tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post7934066926296892959..comments2024-03-26T14:01:36.240-05:00Comments on Public Policy Polling: Burr up 5 on MarshallTom Jensenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comBlogger16125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-16230503891031513832010-07-29T02:29:55.043-05:002010-07-29T02:29:55.043-05:00Go Beitler! We need someone who's going to sta...Go Beitler! We need someone who's going to stand up for civil liberties without behaving like a tax-and-spender. <br /><br />People shouldn't be afraid of "wasting their votes" by voting Libertarian or for other alternative party candidates. Realistically speaking, your vote is not going to change the outcome anyway, only add to someone's total, and you don't get a prize if you vote for the winner! <br /><br />The only "wasted vote" is a vote cast for a candidate you don't really believe is the best person for the job. The way things have been going, it's time to start thinking outside the two-party box.Starchildhttp://www.isil.org/resources/introduction.swfnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-2093529204074211442010-07-08T10:34:37.983-05:002010-07-08T10:34:37.983-05:00So Scott Rasmussen is simply making up polls to sh...So Scott Rasmussen is simply making up polls to show Marshall surging after the primary and then cratering, and Paul surging after the primary and then cratering?<br /><br />Pretty bizarre conspiracy theory.<br /><br />As Rasmussen pointed out, aside from the one post-primary poll, Burr's and Marshall's numbers have been in a pretty tight range for an extended period. PPP has shown something similar, except a consistently lower result for Burr.<br /><br />Of course, PPP has seemingly given up polling head-to-head numbers.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-76524948500693995282010-07-07T21:49:59.289-05:002010-07-07T21:49:59.289-05:00Interesting numbers from Ras! Apparently by his ow...Interesting numbers from Ras! Apparently by his own numbers, Burr has gone from a one-point lead two weeks ago to the high teens now. This is the sort of obvious attempts to set narratives we see from Ras so frequently - see, for the most vivid recent example, his claim of a 24-point lead for Rand Paul immediately after the Kentucky primaries, or his North Carolina poll this week.NRHhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12565160695480579309noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-67909061971555233872010-07-07T14:01:13.687-05:002010-07-07T14:01:13.687-05:00Rasmussen's latest puts Burr up comfortably.
...Rasmussen's latest puts Burr up comfortably.<br /><br />Dole's fame automatically made her more visible in media than Burr. I've never heard or read anyone argue differently, so Tom's post is pretty bizarre. Burr may have been to more local events, but without the same level of local/national media coverage.<br /><br />Burr has a lot of campaign $ to advertise his stands against the Obama agenda. <br /><br />Going to have to be pretty creative over the next couple months to find things to spin against Burr. Try throwing a fictional Tea Party candidate in the mix!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-4691152675002392162010-07-07T09:31:19.713-05:002010-07-07T09:31:19.713-05:00"Contrary to conventional wisdom about where ..."Contrary to conventional wisdom about where Libertarian candidates get their support from Beitler is actually pulling 7% of Democrats to just 4% of Republicans. Beitler may be doing well with conservative Democrats who don't want to give Barack Obama another vote in the Senate but who don't much care for Burr either."<br /><br />Disagree with your reasoning, Tom. The evidence from 2008 points to Mike Munger taking more Democratic votes than Republican ones. Remember, the Libertarian Party has much more in common on cultural issues with the left of the Democratic Party in NC than they do with Republicans or Conservative Democrats. The LP has put a good bit of effort into reaching out to certain segments of Democrats on these issues. In the words of Mike Munger from 2008, Mike Beitler is the "real liberal in the race," at least on said set of issues.Paige Michael-Shetleynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-55620445017830554002010-07-07T07:21:22.225-05:002010-07-07T07:21:22.225-05:00Another vote for Beitler, here. No more "bus...Another vote for Beitler, here. No more "business as usual" in D.C. Operating the government without an approved budget and with unchecked spending should land the legislature in jail. Enough is enough.Keanehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17363116430981596667noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-28338777287837221182010-07-06T22:31:36.165-05:002010-07-06T22:31:36.165-05:00Weak support from Democrats in Southern races is f...Weak support from Democrats in Southern races is fairly common, as there are still a lot of areas where everyone registers as a Democrat but votes for Republicans in federal races. A number of Southern legislatures have large Democratic majorities but aren't remotely competitive for Senate seats or in presidential elections.NRHhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12565160695480579309noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-34266719067622181522010-07-06T18:42:05.966-05:002010-07-06T18:42:05.966-05:00The Libertarian Party might have an unusual role i...The Libertarian Party might have an unusual role in North Carolina this year, particularly if the race stays low-visibility. The more people think "Oh, the Republican is just going to win, it's North Carolina," the more easily they cast their protest vote for the third-party candidate. If the race isn't making an impact on people near the end, then the Libertarian candidate might well end up being closer than normal to their reported poll numbers (as third-party candidates usually drop support in the actual election from their poll numbers).NRHhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12565160695480579309noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-32372908652099396292010-07-06T13:26:20.754-05:002010-07-06T13:26:20.754-05:00Better watch it, you are ruining the pundits narra...Better watch it, you are ruining the pundits narrative of a republican tidal wave. <br />Maybe you can actually show what a fraud rasmussen is since you are about the only pollster out there doing much polling.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-50126428153859265372010-07-06T13:06:59.865-05:002010-07-06T13:06:59.865-05:00If people are sick of wall street bailouts and wha...If people are sick of wall street bailouts and whatnot why are there so many billionaires running viable campaigns all over the country?<br /><br />I was wondering, Tom, what you think is behind Marshall's weak support numbers from Democrats. Is it aftermath from her primary battle with Cunningham, or is it like Kentucky where Barack Obama isn't popular among Southern Democrats...for some reason.AGnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-9087103108982030852010-07-06T12:52:15.895-05:002010-07-06T12:52:15.895-05:00Money isn't everything and I wouldn't coun...Money isn't everything and I wouldn't count Marshall out. Burr is going ot have a fight on his hands. This state is truly a purple state and Obama is only an issue if Marhsall allows him to be one. The fact that most people are unaware that Burr is the incumbent makes this race a true toss-up.mf1uricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01499629827814557726noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-13858236497519559602010-07-06T12:00:37.371-05:002010-07-06T12:00:37.371-05:00I don't think the Libertarian will really end ...I don't think the Libertarian will really end up getting 10% but I think that's an accurate reflection of current support- people are parked there as a protest vote and will probably move toward one of the major party candidates as the election gets closer.Tom Jensenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-86430567799986946482010-07-06T11:54:34.585-05:002010-07-06T11:54:34.585-05:00Do you buy 10% for the Libertarian candidate? See...Do you buy 10% for the Libertarian candidate? Seems too high to me.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-84920468702685075482010-07-06T11:01:18.891-05:002010-07-06T11:01:18.891-05:00If anything ends up trumping all factors in the en...If anything ends up trumping all factors in the end, it's going to be Burr's ability to define himself and his opponent due to his large cash advantage.Samhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16553666872399394461noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-65743310199616725032010-07-06T10:29:29.710-05:002010-07-06T10:29:29.710-05:00Well, Burr has one other thing going for him besid...Well, Burr has one other thing going for him besides the anti-Democratic environment: money. I suspect Dems will lose both NC-Sen and OH-Sen (where Portman is crushing Fisher financially) because of this.Jayant Reddyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11002669437081807466noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-70591394621798257362010-07-06T10:11:24.445-05:002010-07-06T10:11:24.445-05:00Count me as one vote for Beitler. Anyone that vote...Count me as one vote for Beitler. Anyone that voted for the bailouts goes this November. Anyone that supports Obama's agenda goes this November.<br /><br />The madness has to stop.PackMan97https://www.blogger.com/profile/08840850187483513929noreply@blogger.com