tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post8247667209134825913..comments2024-03-26T14:01:36.240-05:00Comments on Public Policy Polling: Obama and IndependentsTom Jensenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06545052616714485196noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-2795613175607252132010-03-11T08:33:47.142-05:002010-03-11T08:33:47.142-05:00Right
Like Independents in Florida with a huge ol...Right<br /><br />Like Independents in Florida with a huge older population who hate Obamacare are going to like him right now?<br /><br />no way! You poll right their is debunkedAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-58616250176036987212010-03-10T20:29:31.441-05:002010-03-10T20:29:31.441-05:00I can explain Arizona, Florida, though not Delawar...I can explain Arizona, Florida, though not Delaware or South Dakota. <br /><br />The Republicans who became indies in 2008 were the ones most likely to dislike their GOP options or think the GOP was too far right wing. So now that Obama is moving left, those right-leaning, once-Obama-supporting indies are disapproving. <br /><br />McCain was a great GOP option for the moderate Republicans in Arizona. A native son, or the early favorite of the popular Governor Crist. So today's indies are less right-leaning, because there are more Republicans who stayed Republicans in 2008. The indies that remain are left-center moderates.wthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04343481782148411302noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-75587985127720266492010-03-10T18:51:26.781-05:002010-03-10T18:51:26.781-05:00Well, it could be that Obama's approval rating...Well, it could be that Obama's approval rating is moving into much more positive territory now. Health care reform is also picking up more support per pollster.com. Since the FL poll is the latest poll you have on Independents and Obama, it could be that the data on the other states is already old in political time. Poll the other states now and see if there's movement one way or the other.Kirknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2799451770086337664.post-56716314198834064962010-03-10T16:55:50.132-05:002010-03-10T16:55:50.132-05:00Looks like you got an unrepresentative sample of i...Looks like you got an unrepresentative sample of independents. That's what's skewing your FL Senate polling, too.<br /><br />That can happen pretty frequently with a relatively small subgroup, which is probably why the results look odd in several states.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com