Barack Obama won the Iowa caucus and Hillary Clinton leads the polls in New Hampshire, but John Edwards continues to be the safest choice for Democrats to reclaim the White House.
PPP did polls testing 12 possible general election matchups in the key battleground states of Florida and Ohio tonight, so that they would reflect all the momentum candidates gained or lost based on the results in Iowa.
Edwards is the only Democrat to lead all four Republican hopefuls in Ohio, and he leads three out of four in Florida as well.
By contrast Barack Obama leads only two out of four GOP possibilities in Ohio and just one in Florida. Hillary Clinton leads Mitt Romney and Rudy Giuliani but trails John McCain and Mike Huckabee in each of those states.
On the Republican side, John McCain came out as the strongest potential nominee, reflecting his national resurgence over the last few weeks. He leads all the Democrats in Florida and two out of three in Ohio.
Voters in key primary states over the next few weeks who are concerned about electability should probably be giving their votes to John Edwards and John McCain.
The numbers:
Ohio:
Edwards 51
Giuliani 34
Edwards 53
Romney 33
Edwards 49
Huckabee 40
Edwards 47
McCain 40
Clinton 44
Giuliani 37
Clinton 45
Romney 40
Huckabee 45
Clinton 43
McCain 46
Clinton 42
Obama 47
Giuliani 37
Obama 43
Huckabee 43
McCain 45
Obama 42
Obama 44
Romney 38
Florida:
Edwards 47
Giuliani 38
Edwards 47
Romney 39
Edwards 46
Huckabee 42
McCain 42
Edwards 41
Clinton 45
Giuliani 39
Clinton 46
Romney 42
Huckabee 47
Clinton 44
McCain 46
Clinton 42
Obama 44
Giuliani 42
Huckabee 45
Obama 42
McCain 46
Obama 40
Obama 43
Romney 43
Full results and crosstabs here.
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2 comments:
These cross section polls of hypothetical match-ups before any campaigning has started are the biggest bunch of bologna. These numbers are completely insignificant, and will change after the nominees are decided.
I think if Hillary Clinton wins the nomination she will have Edwards on her ticket. I cannot not guess who Obama would have. But this is interesting that Edwards would have done best in Ohio. Too bad he is out.
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