Wednesday, April 16, 2008

Fun with crosstabs

With our polls on a week to week basis we have way more data than we publicly release, mostly to avoid an information overload. Here is some of the interesting stuff from within the crosstabs:

-Folks who support Hillary Clinton are much more likely to have their minds made up for Governor and Senate than those who support Barack Obama. In the Senate race 44% of Clinton supporters and 65% of Obama supporters are undecided. For Governor it's 15% and 26% respectively.

Given that Obama is bringing a lot of newer voters into the process it makes sense that they haven't paid as much attention to the other races as those going for Clinton.

-There are large gaps in both of those races based on Presidential support. Kay Hagan leads Jim Neal 37-9 among Clinton supporters but just 22-6 with Obama folks, a possible indication that gender could be a major voting criterion with those voters. Bev Perdue actually has the opposite trend though- a 44-26 lead with Obama supporters but a 41-40 deficit to Richard Moore with those going for Clinton. That is not surprising given Perdue's popularity with black voters.

-Voters supporting Kay Hagan are strong Perdue people while those going for Jim Neal are Moore people. Perdue leads 52-34 with Hagan supporters, Moore leads 53-30 with Neal supporters.

-Perdue has more black supporters than white supporters- 48-45 in our latest poll. Moore's breakdown is 66-24 in favor of whites.

1 comment:

  1. Five million people in this country suffer from Alzheimer’s Disease. During the next administration, the number will skyrocket due to the aging baby boomer population.

    We need to ask our candidates what they’re going to do about it before it bankrupts Medicare and Medicaid. North Carolina voters must ask that question now.

    www.alz.org/election08

    ReplyDelete