Monday, March 30, 2009

Reviewing our 2010 Polling

Here's a summary of all of our polling on 2010 Senate races involving folks who have not explicitly ruled out running (to my knowledge) ranked in order of the seat's likelihood to change hands based on initial horse race numbers from the hypothetical contests:

State

Democrat

Republican

Margin for Incumbent Party

Missouri

Robin Carnahan

Sarah Steelman

-11

Delaware

Beau Biden

Mike Castle

-8

North Carolina

Roy Cooper

Richard Burr

-5

New Hampshire

Paul Hodes

Charlie Bass

-3

Colorado

Michael Bennet

Bill Owens

-3

Texas

John Sharp

Florence Shapiro

-3

New Hampshire

Paul Hodes

John Sununu

-2

Missouri

Robin Carnahan

Roy Blunt

-1

Texas

Bill White

Florence Shapiro

+1

Ohio

Lee Fisher

Rob Portman

+2

Texas

Bill White

David Dewhurst

+5

Texas

Bill White

Greg Abbott

+6

Texas

Thurbert Baker

Johnny Isakson

+6

Texas

John Sharp

David Dewhurst

+6

North Carolina

Elaine Marshall

Richard Burr

+8

Texas

John Sharp

Greg Abbott

+8

Ohio

Jennifer Brunner

Rob Portman

+8

Georgia

Jim Marshall

Johnny Isakson

+9

Arkansas

Blanche Lincoln

Tim Griffin

+9

Colorado

Michael Bennet

Tom Tancredo

+9

Arkansas

Blanche Lincoln

Gilbert Baker

+11

North Carolina

Jim Neal

Richard Burr

+14

North Carolina

Cal Cunningham

Richard Burr

+19

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