Monday, July 13, 2009

Palin's Fitness to be President

Last week our national survey found just 37% of voters in the country think Sarah Palin is fit to be President- 55% don't. A deeper analysis of the numbers finds that Palin's coalition is largely limited to conservative Republicans and independents and doesn't include the moderates she would likely need to succeed in a national election:

Group

Palin’s Fitness to be President (Yes/No)

Group’s % of the electorate

Conservative Republicans

77/16

28

Liberal Democrats

6/88

19

Moderate Democrats

6/87

18

Moderate Independents

35/55

12

Conservative Independents

56/34

8

Moderate Republicans

28/61

7

Conservative Democrats

22/73

5


It's interesting to see that moderate and liberal Democrats are more sold on Palin's not being fit to serve as President than conservative Republicans are on her being fit. With moderate Republicans her problem is that while almost half of them- 47%- have a positive opinion of her almost 40% of those who do like her still don't think she's fit to be President.

She also doesn't appear to have much crossover potential with conservative Democrats and with the most center leaning group of voters there is- moderate independents- she still has a way to go to convince folks she'd be alright in the White House.

6 comments:

  1. "A deeper analysis of the numbers finds that Palin's coalition is largely limited to conservative Republicans and independents and doesn't include the moderates she would likely need to succeed in a national election."

    Isn't that true of any Republican at this point? All of the candidates that you have polled thus far have trouble with moderates against Obama.

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  2. How's the North Carolina matchup going?

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  3. C'mon Tom, you don't even want to leave a hint.

    At least let us know if the trend towards more voters voting on social issues and less voters voting on economic issues in North Carolina is continuing.

    Obama could find himself in the paradox in North Carolina in that he loses more support as the economy recovers because North Carolinians will then vote on where they stand on social issues.

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  4. His approval is down by a small amount.

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  5. Around a 5-6 point lead in NOrth Carolina?

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  6. she don't think that she is fit to be as a president

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