11 months out...

Things can change a lot in a year in politics...

This week two years ago we released a poll that showed Kay Hagan trailing Elizabeth Dole 51-39 and that showed Barack Obama trailing Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, and Rudy Giuliani by anywhere from 3-5 points. John McCain seemed so out of it at that point we didn't even bother to include him in the poll- of course a month later he was well on his way to the Republican nomination.

Those findings are a good reminder that everything can change in a year...or even a few weeks.

Of course we also put out a poll that week showing Bev Perdue leading Pat McCrory 41-39 for Governor, and that spread ended up being almost exactly the way it ended up 10.5 months later.

So some of what we're seeing out there right now really might hold right on through November...and some of it will probably change considerably.