Here are the choices for where we poll this week:
-California. We haven't gone there yet this cycle and the polling has been a little contradictory, particularly on the question of how much trouble Barbara Boxer is or is not in.
-Colorado. I believe Rasmussen that Michael Bennet is down a good bit to Jane Norton and that the Governor's race is a toss up with perhaps a small lean toward John Hickenlooper but it's one of those deals where it's good to have looks from multiple pollsters.
-New Mexico. As I've said before I'm interested to see if the political climate has the Governor's race here up in the air. And although I'm not going to promise this, because New Mexico has only 3 Congressional districts we might be able to do a small sample poll (300-400 probably) within each of those as long as we're doing the statewide one.
-Ohio. Same thing as Colorado really- I believe that Republicans are ahead in the races for both Senate and Governor but we haven't looked at it since June and another set of eyes is never a bad thing.
-Vermont. The Governor's race here seems to be one of the better offensive opportunities for Democrats this year but to my knowledge there's been no polling on it.
-Washington. If Republicans were going to somehow do the impossible and take the Senate this fall Patty Murray's seat is one they might need to win- we'd look at whether Dino Rossi or Dave Reichert could do anything there.
Voting is open until Thursday morning.
Washington:
ReplyDeleteRasmussen released a poll that shows what we've suspected: Murray is vulnearble. Against three unknown Republicans with no state-wide base, she does no better than 50%. Murray falls behind Dino Rossi 46-48.
Other findings show that Washington voters are leaning conservative: "Sixty-nine percent (69%) trust the judgment of the American people more than that of the country’s political leaders when it comes to important national issues.
Sixty-nine percent (69%) also believe the federal government has become a special interest group, while 72% say government and big business often work together to hurt consumers and investors.
Forty-one percent (41%) approve of the job Democratic Governor Christine Gregoire is doing, while 57% disapprove. Those numbers included 18% who strongly approve of her job performance and 38% who strongly disapprove."
From the left, it is remarkable that two members of the Emily's List class of '92 (Boxer, Murray) are in trouble. But how much support can they expect when they pushed the Senate healthcare "reform" bill despite its many, many flaws?
Senate Democrats unanimously supported the healthcare "reform" bill that had the Nelson compromise (upsetting both pro-abortion and pro-life groups), no public option and no medicare buy-in (upsetting the left), and an individual mandate with large fines and potential jail sentences (upsetting the healthy, the young, the liberty-minded, the YFB "Young, Fabulous, and Broke", and even upset the left without a public option), and corrupt kickbacks to Nebraska, Florida, Louisiana, Connecticut, and the unions. Hardly anyone outside the elitist political-lobbyist class wanted the Senate bill to pass and yet Senate Democrats continued to push on aggressively, arrogantly, and in the end incompetently. And to add to the insult the Senate (and the White House) were telling the House and special interest groups to just accept the flawed Senate plan. As long as Murray's fingerprints remain on the healthScare bill, she can never be considered safe.
Love the ability to vote on where polling goes. Thanks for regularly opening these up!
ReplyDeleteJust a thought - The vote should be restarted with Indiana added. With Bayh gone, this could be interesting.
ReplyDeleteI vote for California Senate.
ReplyDeleteI'm from Washington and I'm interested in polling in my state but on Congressional races. There is no way that Rossi or Reichert are going to challenge Murray. The Rs want to hold on to the 8th and Reichert can do that even in a D+4 district. Rossi wasn't even polite to the party officials who came calling and has been vehement in his denials to the press.
ReplyDeleteI think polling is better done after the dust has settled. Polling next week in Indiana, after the candidates are known, is far better than polling today. A Wisconsin poll will be truer if people definitely know Thompson is in or out. Not that he knows. He has five months to file. He can be both until then.
ReplyDeleteI opt for the Vermont governor race. Most of the other races are being polled by others -- some pretty regularly. I think PPP does a great service when it polls places that aren't being done by anyone else. Hence ... the request for Vermont!
ReplyDeleteIf you're eager to poll Vermont, the real race to watch is Leahy's senate seat. Do the people really want to support a clown who takes radical positions on judicial issues and makes drunken tirades on the senate floor when he doesn't get his way?
ReplyDeletehttp://www.breitbart.tv/mark-levin-was-patrick-leahy-loaded-on-the-senate-floor/
Voted for New Mexico! Please, please, please poll the congressional districts!
ReplyDeleteYou should poll the NM-3 congressional race. It looks like a tight match up this year.
ReplyDeleteThere's a great Republican running in CD3 in New Mexico named Adam Kokesh that has inspired me enough to change from democrat to republican. I REALLY want to know where he's at.
ReplyDeleteWould love to see a poll of California, but how can you do it? Don't they have a law forbidding robocalls (even poll robocalls)?
ReplyDeleteI vote New Mexico. I would love to see numbers on the governor's race (I know the Republicans at least have a pretty big field), but I particularly want to see CD 3.
ReplyDeleteI would love to know how Kokesh is doin in NM-3.
ReplyDeleteI vote for Vermont.
ReplyDeleteVermont gubernatorial race must have a poll. Small states always have disadvantage in this type of polls.
Ya'll should choose CD-3. There's a pretty heated race there.
ReplyDeleteThe people of New Mexico are sick of the corruption. There is voter rage and it will be excised in November.
ReplyDelete