We're going to do a final South Carolina primary poll, Republicans only, over the weekend. That should be out late Sunday night.
It's North Carolina week and national week so that's what we'll be releasing Tuesday-Friday.
I know what we're going to do for one of our two state polls next weekend but we'll take suggestions for the other and put it to a vote.
Have a good weekend! Root for the Tar Heels in the Norman regional! (It's a 19 hour drive from Chapel Hill to Norman, just long enough not to tempt me to drive out there.)
With all the news about Jim Messina emailing jobs to Andrew Romanoff, you should take a look at Colorado.
ReplyDeleteIn addition to the primary head-to-head, you should ask a question to Democratic primary voters on whether they think it is fair for the White House to work against them having a choice as to who should be the party's nominee.
Rasmussen is the only one that's been polling Missouri, Indiana, Wisconsin, and Oregon Senate races. Since the primaries have passed in Indiana and Oregon the general election is set there.
ReplyDeleteIf you did Indiana you could poll Indiana-3. The GOP nominee won't be chosen by the electorate. It'd be interesting to see if the party committee gets it right.
MA-GOV
ReplyDeleteand could check brown's favorables too
I'll nominate Louisiana to poll. Melancon has been pretty vocal during the crisis so it's worth seeing if that's having any effect. Also, it'll be good to see what the people most affected by the spill think of Obama and Jindal's performances and whether they still support expanding drilling.
ReplyDeleteNevada and Indiana
ReplyDeleteTom, in the past, you have refused to poll certain states (i.e. Indiana and North Dakota) Are there any others we should know about that you will not poll so we don't waste comments suggesting them? Please respond. Thanks.
ReplyDeleteLouisiana. Fall out from oil spill in terms of Melancon, Vitter, Landrieu, Jindal, or Obama? How does Louisiana think BP is doing? I think this is perhaps the most interesting state at this time.
ReplyDeleteNevada. It will be right after the primary, which means Rasmussen will probably have a poll, but it might be good to confirm the usual Republican lean we get from that pollster. Also, the sudden emergence of Harry Reid from behind is always interesting.
Colorado. You just polled Colorado. I assume you won't do it again.
Pennsylvania: R2K and Rasmussen had Sestak up and then suddenly Toomey surges from Rasmussen. What's the real deal and how is Onorato doing in PA-GOV? This is a good state to poll the generic state house ballot because Democrats have to hold the State House to have a chance at redistricting. And the Sestak fallout will be a good poll question.
Indiana (automated polling is functionally illegal) and North Dakota (no voter file) are the ones we pretty much won't poll.
ReplyDeleteIndiana (automated polling is functionally illegal)
ReplyDelete???? I'm pretty sure Rasmussen and SurveyUSA have polled Indiana.
With live interviewers introducing the automated poll. We're not going to that expense for polls we're not getting paid for.
ReplyDeleteMA-10
ReplyDeleteGulf Oil Spill: Obama's incompetence and infantile rhetoric is nothing new. Obama is just finding another venue from which to embarrass himself.
ReplyDeleteThe real story is Sestak admitting to receiving an offer of a bribe to not run for office, refusing to identify who offered him a bribe to not run for office, and entering into a conspiracy with administration officials to cover-up the relevant details of such a federal crime.
"Nearly three-out-of-four voters in the state say they have been following news stories about the secret Obama White House job offer to Sestak in hopes that he would drop his primary challenge of Specter, and 52% say that offer is at least somewhat important in terms of how they will vote. Forty-one percent (41%) view the job offer as unimportant. This includes 29% for whom it is Very Important and 20% who say it’s Not At All Important." (Rasmussen)
69% of those who say the offer is Very Important to their vote (honest people) prefer Toomey.
61% of voters who regard it as Not At All Important (partisan hacks who condone corruption for political gain) favor Sestak.
Louisiana, Pennsylvania, and Nevada.
ReplyDeleteTom, even I really DON'T want to tell you that because I want you to poll that state, Montana has the same rule. Robopolls need to be introduced by live interviewers, that law passed in 2009.
ReplyDeleteCome on, most obvious choice is Illinois, lets see the fallout about this military record
ReplyDeleteLouisiana.
ReplyDeleteI think its time to poll either Missouri or Delaware again.
ReplyDeleteIn Missouri, the race is getting tighter, with Carnahan attacking Blunt on his ties to the oil industry.
We also had no Delaware poll in months.
LA or IL would be my preference.
ReplyDeleteMO would be nice to have, although probably not much has changed since last time you polled there. WA might be interesting as a baseline now that Rossi is in for sure. AR and NV for similar reasons as the field will be set there by the time you poll. But LA and IL would seem more interesting than any of these at the moment.
I've fought this off for a while, but now that it's a real race, time for Washington State and its Senate Race.
ReplyDeleteRemember also, we only have our "Top 2 Primary" system, so it would be worth seeing who advances. Maybe it might not be Rossi.
You could also ask about oil drilling off the Pacific coast.
Please Poll South Dakota.
ReplyDeleteWould be interesting to see in how much trouble Herseth-Sandlin is.
I'd nominate Washington, unless you're doing it anyway, then I'd nominate Wisconsin, when you polled it last, the Senate race wasn't remotely competitive, now there's a clear GOP candidate in Ron Johnson.
ReplyDeleteIllinois and Pennsylvania. Mark Kirk has taken a few hits to his credibility because of repeatedly misstating facts about his military record, has that shifted the dynamics of the race any, or is it having a negligible effect like what happened with Blumenthal in Connecticut? Pennsylvania would be a good choice as well, get a picture of where the race stands now that we're further away from the primary.
ReplyDeleteThanks for telling us why you can't poll Indiana, Tom. I'd wondered why you hadn't polled it since 2008.