Republicans in Congress are incredibly unpopular. And many of the party's Senate nominees across the country are too. Yet the party is still headed for a big election year. The reason? About 20% of the country is unhappy with both sides- and they're leaning strongly toward the GOP.
Our last national poll found that 19% of voters both disapproved of Barack Obama's job performance and disapproved of the Republicans in Congress. Those folks are planning to vote Republican for Congress by a 76-6 margin this fall. They may not be happy with either side but when it comes to deciding how to vote in November their feelings against Obama are a much more decisive factor than their feelings against Republicans in general.
It's a similar story when we look at Senate races across the country. Voters in Illinois who dislike both Obama and Mark Kirk plan to vote for a Kirk by a 47-9 margin. In California Carly Fiorina's up 69-13 with folks who don't like her or the President. Kelly Ayotte's advantage in New Hampshire is 56-19 with voters who mutually dislike her and Obama. And in older polls we found Sharron Angle up 40-32 in July and Ken Buck up 61-17 in August with voters who meet that description.
Pretty much across the board voters' ill will toward Obama outweighs their ill will toward the Republican Senate candidates. But there is one exception- in Delaware Chris Coons leads Christine O'Donnell 51-21 with folks who don't like her or Obama- I guess there's only so far some voters are willing to go.
The voters who hate everything and everyone are a key part of the electorate this year- and their support of the GOP is a big part of why the party's headed for a big victory.
Hah. Poor O'Donnell. She is a bridge too far.
ReplyDeleteHow anyone could support the "bearded Marxist" is incomprehensible. Coons is the extremist nutjob. O'Donnell is the mainstream candidate with mainstream values.
ReplyDeletekeep in mind that voter "anger" is currently at a relative low (relative to the unfolding trend will bring). When economy watchers and financial media realize that the market has ended its bear market rally and is resuming another move down ("double dip") the social mood will only become more opposed to the government apologists of the left (and the RINOs). the government bubble will certainly pop, despite the government apologists' insistence that we continue to throw money at the problem. voters will not continue to support such wasteful spending and stimulus as they unfortunately have up to this point.
ReplyDeleteI can't explain all I have learned about social and financial forecasting in a short post, but the point is that support for government programs will decrease even further as voters experience what is coming. the past year-and-a-half has only been a small foretaste of the shift to the right that America will experience in the decade(s) to come. Conservatives are on the ascendancy, beyond just 2010 and even beyond just 2012. Just like leftists in the 1960s couldn't believe that a conservative like Reagan would be president and Republicans would take back the senate and have a massive base of support from evangelicals, leftists today are completely oblivious to what is coming. If you don't see it yet...
Republicans: The Party of Hate.
ReplyDelete"O'Donnell is the mainstream candidate with mainstream values."
ReplyDeleteTo you, anyone is mainstream if he has an R by his name, and anyone is extreme if he has a D by his name. Out of one side of your mouth, you vilify those who aren't extremely right-wing and push for Tea Party challengers, but out of the other side, you line up right behind the GOP party line and take pains to paint even the most moderate Republican as a principled leader and the most extreme as an everyday Joe. Get a grip.
Christian 'Herbie' Tyranny is off his meds again. He's prone to spouting off his crazy-cat-lady pronouncements on the future of the country, then going entirely silent when asked for anything rational people base their predictions on, like 'evidence.' He's got his prophecies directly from his bearded imaginary friend in the sky! Or possibly Christine O'Donnell used her Satanist connections, hard to be sure.
ReplyDeleteThis is the candidate of Angry-At-Everything America:
ReplyDeleteNurglon For Congress in 2010
"Get a grip."
ReplyDeleteDon't suggest to Herbie that he masturbate. His beloved "mainsteam candidate" thinks there should be laws against that.
It Makes sense. Most of the people who disapprove of both Obama and the Republicans are Conservatives upset with the conduct of Congressional Republicans.
ReplyDeleteI agree with Christian Liberty. America is poised for a conservative revolution.
ReplyDeleteHopefully, when we take power away from the Democrat party (socialists) and RINOs, we can phase out Social Security and Medicare, repeal Obamacare, get rid of unconstitutional welfare and unemployment insurance, reduce the size of government immensely (except for the military and law enforcement), reduce taxes, put the Bible and Jesus back in the public square, eliminate environmental and worker safety laws, squelch the homosexual agenda, deport the illegals and their anchor babies, make English the official language, and finally start getting tough with countries like Iran, Syria, and North Korea. I'd also like to see a Congressional investigation into the legitimacy of Obama's birth certificate.
Christine O'Donnell going to win the Senate race this fall, and I can see her someday becoming the next Reagan! Support the Tea Party Express, the 9/12 Movement, the Oathkeepers, and the Three Percenters. Keep America American!!
The Tea Party is very right wing in my opinion, almost fascist. It seems that America is shifting to the right in reaction to Obama's reforms. You voted for change and now that it happening your all going crazy.
ReplyDeleteDumb Voters! Argh! How could people vote for loons like Sharron Angle, Joe Miller, & Rand Paul? It's insanity. Pure insanity.
ReplyDeleteThese lunatics want to take us back to the dark ages and they're complaining about Obama not cleaning up Bush's mess fast enough? It's ludicrous! I mean seriously: LUDICROUS.
With an acronym like 'FAP' I have to assume that FreeAmericanPatriot is mocking crazy right-wing obsessions, and it's really sad that just repeating them without comment suffices as a form of parody (much like when Tina Fey simply repeated Palin's interview responses word-for-word and was scathingly hilarious).
ReplyDeleteChristian Liberty-
ReplyDelete1. O'Donnell is not mainstream and apparently can't even keep up with her finances or not lie about where she graduated from college.
2. If you look throughout history, the American political system has had spurts of these kinds of movements on both the left and the right. It is a byproduct of the two party system that some peoples' views on the extremes get left out and occasionally they get mad.
3. What do you mean by "the government bubble will certainly pop." Does that mean we will default on our debt? Interest rates on US treasuries are ridiculously low so there isn't (or shouldn't be) any worry about that.
4. Fun fact: Without TARP, the stimulus and the Fed keeping interest rates near 0%, the US would have lost 8.5 million more jobs. So maybe you just don't like saving jobs?
4. I would love to hear you theory on why we are going to have another double dip. I'm sure there will be no empirical evidence in it.
FreeAmericanPatriot-
1. If you think O'Donnell is going to win, please seek help.
2. If the Democratic party really were a bunch of socialists, why did they pass free-market based healthcare reform that was incredibly similar to the GOP's alternative to Clinton's Health Security Act? Also, you realize that Social Security keeps 20 million elderly Americans out of poverty right? Are you advocating for poor old people?
3. Obama has a birth certificate from the state of Hawaii and there was a mention of it in the newspaper there when he was born. That would be quite a conspiracy to go to all that trouble 49 years before his election... Again, seek help.
4. What do you think the homosexual agenda is? Obtaining rights guaranteed to them in the Constitution? And way to be racist against the immigrants that are going to help fuel our economy as we move forward in the 21st century. If you had read the Constitution, by the way, you would know that Jesus and the Bible were never meant to be in the public square. A little thing called the First Amendment. It's not that long. Take a gander. On the topic of the Constitution, welfare and unemployment insurance are not unconstitutional. We have a judiciary system that decides these things and, well, they decided that they are constitutional. Unemployment insurance is also the best form of economic stimulus because those people have to spend the money to live day to day and consumption is 70% of the US economy. See multiplier effect.
FreeAmericanPatriot-
ReplyDelete1. If you think O'Donnell is going to win, please seek help.
2. If the Democratic party really were a bunch of socialists, why did they pass free-market based healthcare reform that was incredibly similar to the GOP's alternative to Clinton's Health Security Act? Also, you realize that Social Security keeps 20 million elderly Americans out of poverty right? Are you advocating for poor old people?
3. Obama has a birth certificate from the state of Hawaii and there was a mention of it in the newspaper there when he was born. That would be quite a conspiracy to go to all that trouble 49 years before his election... Again, seek help.
4. What do you think the homosexual agenda is? Obtaining rights guaranteed to them in the Constitution? And way to be racist against the immigrants that are going to help fuel our economy as we move forward in the 21st century. If you had read the Constitution, by the way, you would know that Jesus and the Bible were never meant to be in the public square. A little thing called the First Amendment. It's not that long. Take a gander. On the note of the Constitution, welfare and unemployment insurance are not unconstitutional. We have a judiciary system that decides these things and, well, they decided that they are constitutional. Unemployment insurance is also the best form of economic stimulus because those people have to spend the money to live day to day and consumption is 70% of the US economy.