We're going to have our Rhode Island and North Carolina polls out starting Wednesday of this week.
We're now taking suggestions on where we should poll next weekend. We've been saying that we don't want to poll any states we've already polled a second time until we've done a survey in every state that has a potentially competitive 2012 Senate/President race but we're kind of scraping the bottom of the barrel now, so willing to start repolling things we haven't looked at in the last couple months. We'll still put states we haven't polled yet in the mix and if that's what people vote for we're happy to do them.
Taking suggestions for the next 24 hours and we'll pick finalists and start voting tomorrow.
Maybe some 2011 elections? Kentucky (filing date has past), Mississippi, West Virginia and Louisiana (Bobby Jindal v. Caroline Fayard?)
ReplyDeleteAlso special elections in CA-36 and NY-26.
Seen next to nothing on the 2011 elections.
Vermont? Tom Salmon v. Bernie Sanders?
ReplyDeleteAfter what might be two weeks of protests in Madison, you kill two birds with one stone by checking up on the 2012 race's progress while also gauging the state's feelings on support for Walker's budget and/or unions.
ReplyDeleteI don't think you checked you checked in on Wisco since early January, so now's as good a time as ever.
There are retirement rumors about Tom Carper and curious if Christine O'Donnell is beyond repair with the Delawarean electorate? Also hearing Michele Rollins might run for U.S. Senate.
ReplyDeleteAlso Washington would interesting with the gubernatorial election as Maria Cantwell.
Definitely Wisconsin. Iowa Presidential (primary and general) would be great too.
ReplyDeletei second Jb's suggestion, along with approval ratings for sen. johnson.
ReplyDeleteWISCONSIN!!! What planet are you on where you don't want to test Scott Walker's favorability, the Dem's choice to flee the capital, the popularity of the bill itself, or a Feingold/Walker gubernatorial showdown.
ReplyDeleteHas there been any polling in North Dakota since Sen. Kent Conrad?
ReplyDeleteMississippi for the Gubernatorial race.
ReplyDeleteIowa!!!
ReplyDeleteSouth Carolina!!!
West Virginia!!!
Florida!!!
No Connecticut? Seriously?
ReplyDeleteI would like to know how Tester if faring in Montana
ReplyDeleteIt wasn't so long ago you did New Mexico, but with Bingaman declaring his retirement, it might be worth another look now that people know he's not an option.
ReplyDeleteAnother visit to Wisconsin would be timely, though several other polls have been through there.
Kentucky Attorney General
ReplyDeleteKentucky Governor
Kentucky Secretary of State
Kentucky Agriculture Commissioner
Kentucky Auditor
Mississippi Attorney General
Since you've already surveyed how several potential 2012 candidates would fare in their respective home states, perhaps you'll consider polling Rudy Giuliani vs. President Obama in New York. It'd also be interesting to see whether Giuliani leads the GOP field in NY, which Politico is reporting may shift from winner-take-all to a proportional allocation of delegates, in an attempt to be more relevant in the nomination process.
ReplyDeleteConnecticut! Bysiewicz-Murphy primary, a McMahon-Simmons primary, and all the matchups.
ReplyDeleteWisconsin definitely
ReplyDeleteNext, New Mexico, w/Bingeman's retirement.
Wisconsin would make a lot of sense.
ReplyDeleteAlso Nevada, it looks like sitting Rep. Heller is going for sitting Sen. Ensign's seat in the primary. And the general election for Senate could be between sitting reps; Rep. Heller & Rep. Berkley.
LA and MS! Please! There's been zero polling of either of these, and it would be really nice to see some hard data rather than just going on CW.
ReplyDeleteVirginia.
ReplyDeletePlease poll Missouri, i think there has been movement towards McCaskill since ur poll was taken there right after the 2010 midterm disaster for democrats. As we know, before Sam Graves announced he wasnt running there was a survey usa poll showing McCaskill leading the congressman 48% to 44%. In addition, we have a little more info about the current field, including the fact that Akin, Graves, Talent, Luetkemeyer,Kinder and Schweich are all not going to running against McCaskill. So you should poll these matchups.
ReplyDeleteMcCaskill vs. Steelman
McCaskill vs. Martin
McCaskill vs. Emerson
McCaskill vs. Wagner
The governor's race and presidential race might be good to look at too along with Roy Blunt approval rating and how he would fare against Robin Carnahan in a rematch that took place in a neutral or more democratic leaning climate.
Wisconsin of course for the obvious reasons to test Walker's favorability rating, his bill's popularity and the popularity of state democrats and unions. Plus see how a rematch with Walker would fare.
ReplyDeleteMississippi and Oregon please.
ReplyDeleteConnecticut hasn't been polled yet.
ReplyDeleteWisconsin and CA 36.
ReplyDeleteFlorida!
ReplyDeleteWith their latest push for being the 5th primary in 2012, it seems only appropriate to return there.
It's been awhile!
Let's see how hopeless holding the North Dakota Senate seat is.
ReplyDeleteWould be interesting to gage approval of Hoeven and Berg while you're there. Maybe see if Pomeroy has a reason to try to retake his seat, or even take a shot at COnrad's.
I second North Dakota...let's see how hopeless holding that seat is, and whether Pomeroy could take it back, or even take Conrad's seat.
ReplyDeleteApproval on Berg and Hoeven would also be interesting.
Runner up choice is Wisconsin...test Walker, Johnson and Ryan and see how much Feingold regret there is already.
I'm most interested in the potential swing states in the 2012 Presidential election... Florida, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, etc.
ReplyDeleteI think PPP is way beyond due for a New Hampshire poll. Another pollster recently found Romney up 8 over Obama, and I'm very curious to see how Giuliani fares in the state he's supposedly eying for a 2012 run.
ReplyDeleteWisonsin or Ohio might be interesting due to the collective bargaining fights.
ReplyDeleteWinconsin for all of the reasons previously mentioned with a poll question on whether the people of the state would support a recall against the republican legisature for their support of the governor's bill, democrats for the opposition of the bill and leaving the state, or the governor for bringing a collective bargaining ban into the budget.
ReplyDeleteA couple off-the-wall suggestions:
ReplyDeleteUtah - Chaffetz/Hatch primary, general matchups with Matheson.
Delaware - One of the governor races that has been completely silent so far; check Markell vs. Tom Kovach, Colin Bonini, and Charlie Copeland.
Other than that, I second Vermont and New Mexico (especially since there's a candidate in the latter that wasn't polled last time).
It's probably been said already, but Wisconsin is looking pretty interesting.
ReplyDeleteIn addition to matchups, you could poll Walker's approval as well as see where people stand on the union/defecit bill.
My second suggestion would be Virginia, it has an open Senate seat and I don't think you've polled it since December.
Oh...another reason to do North Dakota...I'm curious to see if it joins its southern neighbor in electing Obama if Palin is his opponent.
ReplyDeleteWisconsin governor/state senator approval and a question on the recent union-busting bill.
ReplyDeleteI would be highly disappointed if I see not:
ReplyDeleteConnecticut (Open Senate seat)
Maine (President and Senate)
Washington (President and Governor)
New Hampshire (President)
Oregon (President)
before begin again with the second poll for other states.
It would be so sad.
Please, lose not the chance of give a complete overview for 2012 before begin repeating (still 2011 gubernatorials should be before begin again repeating).
WI now, but CT and NH soon, and then a return to NM and AZ.
ReplyDeleteI like Mississippi. It would be fun to see if Wicker can get hit by the Teabag and test the general against Gene Taylor.
ReplyDeletePlease do ARKANSAS FOR HUCK!!!!!!!
ReplyDeleteYou did MN for T-Paw,
MA for Romney,
AK for Palin,
SD for Thune,
ETC....
Louisianna or NY please!!!!!!!!!!
ReplyDeleteThese states have not been polled by any polling company.
I am interrested to see how our presumedly frontrunner Mike Huckabee can do in NY after seeing his strength in NJ and to see if his participation at Fox has helped increase his favorability.
Huckabee narrowly won LA last time but Romney was out of the race then. Can Huckabee continue his lead in the southern region with Romney included?
Not sure why I should ask seeing your polls will be slanted to Dems
ReplyDeleteMichigan ( Stabenow)
Montana ( tester vs Rehberg)
I don't think PPP does North Dakota for the same reason they don't do Indiana--it costs too much to do based on the laws for polling in that state.
ReplyDeleteThat being said, you should definitely poll Wisconsin, and more broadly the Kentucky/Mississippi/Louisiana races. Not only the statewide ones either--test the generic legislative ballots too, as control of the state legislature is up for grabs in basically all 3 states.
Virginia and NH
ReplyDeleteAbsolutely not Wisconsin! When you poll in the middle of a shitstorm, you get no useful information. Emotions are high, strength of opinion is exaggerated, and the opinions are often whimsical and short-lived.
ReplyDelete2011 states (KY, MS, LA) would certainly be interesting.
^agreed. This is perhaps the worst time to attain a realistic gauge on Wisconsin politics.
ReplyDeletePlease consider Maryland... See if the is any chance of a Bob Ehrlich come back(just like Dino Rossi ran in 2010 after losing gov bids in 04 and 08. Only difference, Ehrlich was actually Governor.) Also could look at Mary Kane, Andy Harris, and the two Republican County Executives, John Lepold and David Craig as potential candidates.
ReplyDeleteOut of curiosity, is polling Puerto Rico feasible for PPP?
ReplyDeleteI second Missouri. It would be good to see how McCaskill does against possible opponents, and also how Obama is doing in a state he barely lost last time.
ReplyDeleteWalker will be hosting a fireside chat tonight (blocking off TV on all the local stations). He'll then conduct a poll on his popularity. Please counter this with your own survey.
ReplyDelete