We'll start releasing our Michigan and Virginia polls later today. Here are the options for where we'll go this coming weekend:
-California. There's been some polling showing Dianne Feinstein with weakening approval numbers. But would she actually be in any trouble against a named Republican candidate? Interested in looking at that and of course there's always plenty of good stuff to look at in our nation's biggest state.
-Colorado. There's no Gubernatorial or Senate race next year and that's why we haven't polled it that much but it could prove to be one of the most pivotal swing states in next year's election. Barack Obama won it by an impressive margin last time. How's he holding up?
-Kentucky. One of the few states with an important race in 2011- the one for Governor, which we haven't looked at since last October. Also very interested to get a first look at Rand Paul's approval numbers, and could Kentucky be the elusive state where Sarah Palin is popular?
-Nevada. There's been some conflicting polling on the Senate race of late and it's also an important early Republican primary and Presidential swing state.
-Vermont. One of the few states where we've never done a public poll and there are a few interesting things worth looking at- would Tom Salmon pose a threat to Bernie Sanders in the Senate race, is Peter Shumlin going to have a trouble winning a second term?
-West Virginia. Haven't taken a look at the Governor's race since before the primary and it's always worth checking up on Joe Manchin whenever Democrats are going through a bit of a down period, as seems to be the case now, to see how he's holding up.
Voting is open until tonight, we'll do the top 2, don't cheat the vote.
I'd like to see Colorado and Kentucky.
ReplyDeleteIf you poll Kentucky, will you poll down the ballots contests that are competitive ex. SOS, auditor, Agricultural commissioner. If you poll Nevada, will you poll do also poll the NV-2 house special between Mark Amodei and Kate Marshall.
ReplyDeleteWould love to see a new poll of the West Virginia's GOV race between Tomblin and Maloney.
ReplyDeleteI keep voting for Vermont but I don't think it's ever going to win out in a poll with regular swing states.
ReplyDeleteAny chance you guys just might poll it anyway?
Try adding a couple Independents to the Presidential race such as Ron Paul on the right and Bernie Sanders on the left.
ReplyDeleteI voted for Colorado, for much the same reason that Virginia is going to be very relevant at the presidential level. Obama can win Virginia and Colorado, and still lose *a lot* of territory before losing the electoral college.
ReplyDeleteI'd like to see a Nevada poll BUT I'd like to see it after August 2, including Reid approval rating (regardless of the outcome of the debt ceiling negotiations).
ReplyDeleteVoted KY again. Paul approval, Gov H2H. CO second choice.
wow, perhaps it looks like I was a bit premature about Vermont never winning.
ReplyDeleteStill time for that fall through though.
Nevada and Kentucky are key races.
ReplyDeleteThere's much going on in VT worth polling about. Obama is a shoe in but there are a number of potential Republican gubernatorial candidates ready to challenge the incumbent Dem, all of which are potential challengers to Bernie as well. Lots of good info here.
ReplyDeleteI voted for Vermont because in the suggestions of states to poll, I have been advocating it for a long time, but I think doing a West Virginia/Kentucky poll together in the near future would be very nice. Both have governor elections this year, and could yield two Republican pick-ups. While difficult to win, Republicans do have a chance in both.
ReplyDeleteWhen you do Vermont, test ex-Gov. Jim Douglas against Sanders... he'd probably have a shot
ReplyDeleteI hope you will poll Colorado some time. It never seems to win the vote, but there are many dynamics at work in the state that would be interesting to compare with the nation, including the split chambers (House is R, Senate is D) with the Democratic governor. It would also be interesting to see where people stand without the local interference of an upcoming statewide race (no US Senate, Governor, SOS, AG).
ReplyDeleteKentucky and West Virginia please. With Kentucky, not just the governor's race, but the downballot races as well from A-G to Ag Commissioner.
ReplyDeleteKentucky Please. The Democratic Governor is strong against a uniquely ultra conservative established GOP candidate. I would be interested in seeing if we have voter remorse over the Tea Party endorsed Mr. Paul. Moderation and Compromise will win 2012, and it'll be intresting to see which party embraces the new world order.
ReplyDeleteI have been advocating for Vermont.
ReplyDelete