Thursday, April 28, 2011

No future for Angle

Sharron Angle's days as anything other than a side show in Nevada politics are probably over.

Just for the heck of it we tested to see how Angle, less than a year removed from winning the Nevada Republican primary for Senate, would do if she changed her mind and decided to challenge Dean Heller next year. In one of the most lopsided head to head match ups in the history of PPP Heller leads Angle by 76 points at 84-8. Angle trails Heller 81-12 even with the Tea Party members who fueled her success last year.

Keep in mind Angle ran against Heller in a House primary in 2006 and lost just 36-35. Combine this poll finding with the one in January where 68% of Republicans in the state said they regretted her winning the nomination last year and it doesn't look like Angle's future political prospects are good even in a Republican primary.

Nevada Republicans generally seem to have learned their lesson after Angle's nomination quite possibly cost them a Senate seat last year. Only 17% of primary voters prefer a generic 'more conservative' alternative to Heller, compared to 69% who are content for Heller to be the nominee. It does not appear likely that Tea Party problems are in his future.

Another person who doesn't have much to worry about in terms of a primary contest is Shelley Berkley. She leads Byron Georgiou 65-8 in their possible match up. You can chalk part of that up to Berkley simply being better known and popular with a 59/13 favorability rating. But it's also a function of the fact that the Democratic voters who do know Georgiou just flat out don't like him- only 4% have a positive opinion to 23% who view him in a negative light. If Georgiou goes through with his run he's likely to be humiliated in the primary.

Full results here

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Help me out here. I have a rightie friend who first told me that Fed employees do not have collective bargaining. Then he told me Doug Wilder signed a similar law to Walker's. Now Massachusetts is passing a law against collective bargaining. Are we being inconsistent (read: hypocritical) or are there genuine differences here, because I for one can't find them.

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