While the President’s approval numbers are dropping to record lows around the country, in California and New Hampshire Obama’s approval ratings are rising.
In New Hampshire his approval numbers are up but remain relativity steady. In April voters disapproved of Obama 48:47. This month New Hampshire voters approve of the President 49:47.
The news is even brighter in California.
In May, California voters approved of Obama 49:42. This month Californians approve of the President 54:39.
Obama is drawing increased support from minority groups, but this may be more of a rebound rather than a gain. Over the last two months Hispanic voters’ support for the President has increased by almost ten points. Representing 20% of California voters, Hispanic voters are significant actors in Golden State politics. Their shift in support could have to do with Obama’s reaction to the Arizona immigration law, initially received poorly by Latinos. The President’s reinvigorated commitment to immigration reform may be the reason he has regained support amongst the Latino community in California. We saw a drop in Hispanic voters’ support across the country in May and in spike in July—it would be no surprise if the same trend was occurring in California.
There was also a pretty large increase in Republican supporter for Obama. Last month 12% of Republicans approved of Obama, this month 20% of California Republicans approve of Obama’s job in Washington. This is undoubtedly a trend we are not seeing around the country, and I am unsure of why it is occurring in California.
Things aren’t so bad everywhere for Obama after all.
Showing posts with label Hispanic. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Hispanic. Show all posts
Friday, July 30, 2010
Tuesday, July 13, 2010
Hispanic Approval of Obama Increased This Month
In light of Obama's new push on immigration legislation, earlier this month I blogged on Hispanic support of the President.
It appeared there had been a drop in his approval ratings in May and June, possibly as a result of his reaction to the Arizona immigration law. I speculated if his stepped up commitment to immigration reform over the last month would find favor with Hispanics.
It seems Obama's increased attention to immigration over the last month may have paid off. While overall support for the President has dropped, Hispanic support of the President has seen a slight bump from 59 to 63%. For the first time in three months Obama is regaining not losing Hispanic supporters.
We'll have Obama's full approval numbers out tomorrow.
It appeared there had been a drop in his approval ratings in May and June, possibly as a result of his reaction to the Arizona immigration law. I speculated if his stepped up commitment to immigration reform over the last month would find favor with Hispanics.
It seems Obama's increased attention to immigration over the last month may have paid off. While overall support for the President has dropped, Hispanic support of the President has seen a slight bump from 59 to 63%. For the first time in three months Obama is regaining not losing Hispanic supporters.
We'll have Obama's full approval numbers out tomorrow.
Friday, July 2, 2010
Does Hispanic Support for Obama still remain Strong?
As Obama asks Congress to pass an immigration bill, many in the news have been speculating Hispanics’ views on Obama. Obama received tremendous support from Hispanics in his run for president (according to a Pew study, Hispanics favored Obama 67: 31 over McCain), but does the support remain?
In light of the Arizona immigration law and Obama’s lack of a hard-line response, Hispanic support seems to have waned over the last two months.
Here are our findings:
Our April poll was taken just before the announcement of the Arizona immigration law. Therefore, May’s poll is most reflective of Hispanic opinion of Obama following the passage of the law and his reaction.
The magnitude of the change in Hispanic voter’s opinions may not be as drastic as it seems. Hispanic voters only make up about 10% of national voters, as result there is a +/- 9.8 to 12.2% margin of error on their opinion, in comparison to the +/- 3 to 3.8% margin for the entire poll (depending on the sample size for the particular month).
Still, there was undoubtedly a drop in their view of Obama in May and into June, maybe to a new record low. Even with the drop, Obama still has the overwhelming support of Hispanic voters, especially in comparison to the overall population. We can’t say for sure but it seems that many Hispanic voters were unhappy with how Obama reacted to the new law, others may still remain hopeful that the President will end up on the right side of the immigration debate.
We’ll see if his new immigration plan will find favor with the Hispanic voter in our upcoming national poll.
In light of the Arizona immigration law and Obama’s lack of a hard-line response, Hispanic support seems to have waned over the last two months.
Here are our findings:
Our April poll was taken just before the announcement of the Arizona immigration law. Therefore, May’s poll is most reflective of Hispanic opinion of Obama following the passage of the law and his reaction.The magnitude of the change in Hispanic voter’s opinions may not be as drastic as it seems. Hispanic voters only make up about 10% of national voters, as result there is a +/- 9.8 to 12.2% margin of error on their opinion, in comparison to the +/- 3 to 3.8% margin for the entire poll (depending on the sample size for the particular month).
Still, there was undoubtedly a drop in their view of Obama in May and into June, maybe to a new record low. Even with the drop, Obama still has the overwhelming support of Hispanic voters, especially in comparison to the overall population. We can’t say for sure but it seems that many Hispanic voters were unhappy with how Obama reacted to the new law, others may still remain hopeful that the President will end up on the right side of the immigration debate.
We’ll see if his new immigration plan will find favor with the Hispanic voter in our upcoming national poll.
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