I don't think there's much doubt the GOP is a big old mess right now, but I don't think it's that bad either.
We've polled in eight states over the last two months and all of them had at least 28% of voters describe themselves as Republicans. Here's the breakdown:
State | Republican Identification |
| 44% |
| 39% |
| 38% |
National | 33% |
| 33% |
| 31% |
| 30% |
| 29% |
| 28% |
Illinois, Delaware, and Minnesota are all pretty darn blue so if they're averaging 29% of voters identifying as Republicans the true number still has to be somewhere in the 30s.
Maybe this is some sort of twisted Bradley Effect where Republicans are more willing to share that allegiance in an IVR poll than a live interviewer one.
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