Here are the numbers:
| Individual | Favorability | Net |
| Hillary Clinton | 56/37 | +19 |
| Michelle Obama | 52/37 | +15 |
| Bill Clinton | 53/40 | +13 |
| Joe Biden | 43/43 | Even |
| Barack Obama | 47/49 | -2 |
Here are observations:
-Hillary Clinton is the most popular among Democrats, Republicans, and independents alike.
-85% of Democrats view her favorably, followed by 83% for Michelle Obama, 82% for Barack Obama and Bill Clinton, and 73% for Biden.
-21% of Republicans see her positively, followed by 19% for her husband, 18% for Michelle Obama, and 10% for Biden and Barack Obama.
-58% of independents view her favorably, followed by 57% for her husband, 53% for Michelle Obama, 44% for Barack Obama, and 41% for Biden.
-There still appears to be some residual unhappiness from the 2008 primary season toward Bill Clinton by black voters. 23% of them see him unfavorably compared to 16% for Biden, 13% for Michelle Obama, 10% for Hillary Clinton, and 10% for Barack Obama. The good news for Hillary if she does make another try for the White House in 2016 is that any animosity toward her husband there is not rubbing off on her.
I'm sure some folks will look at these numbers and say Barack Obama should step aside for Hillary Clinton to run in 2012 but it's a lot easier to maintain a high level of popularity as Secretary of State than President and it's very debatable whether her numbers would be so good if she was actually the one in the White House. Nevertheless it's a good sign for her looking to the future that her numbers are strong even during a pretty difficult period for the Democratic Party.
Full results here
If Hillary were President and Obama Secretary of State, these numbers would no doubt be reversed. The great thing about Hillary's current position is that it has nothing to do with the economy.
ReplyDeleteDo you have a breakout for the Hispanic voters?
ReplyDeleteNot to mention the photo-op with her between Netanyahu and Abbas while they shook hands was pure gold for her image as a stateswoman....
ReplyDeleteIf these number were reverse, then thats saying Hillary would have DONE everything Obama would have done. And thats over-stretching the mandate the American people gave him and the Dem Party. Sorry, she's too smart for that, and is surely not naive like this President.
ReplyDeleteAnd her current position is because of international issues and foriegn policy, not domestic issues. Duh!
"Do you have a breakout for the Hispanic voters?"
ReplyDeleteAs always, if you simply click on the full results we link to, and scroll down, you will find the answers you're looking for. A caveat for a group as small as Hispanics (or even blacks): the margin of error is higher, and you'll find some flukey results from poll to poll.
Hillary is extraordinary smart and beautiful, agreat human being.HILLARY 2012!
ReplyDeleteMario
bottom line is these popularity polls are fun and good snapshots in time and may affect the 2010 election, they don't fortell the future. If the economy picks up steam in the next two years (as is likely) and unemployment begins to go down then like Ronald Reagan (whose popularity went down into the 30's during the 82-83 recession) and Bill Clinton (who was at one point down to 36%)Obama will make a big comeback in the polls. What I find fascinating is that even with the tough economy and nearly 10% unemployment most polls give Obama an average of 45% approval rating and in actuality that has been remarkably stable for months (give a dip here or there). I think that says something about Obama's overall appeal in that he is weathering this recession/slow recovery as well as he is.
ReplyDelete"I'm sure some folks will look at these numbers and say Barack Obama should step aside for Hillary Clinton to run in 2012 but it's a lot easier to maintain a high level of popularity as Secretary of State than President and it's very debatable whether her numbers would be so good if she was actually the one in the White House."
ReplyDeleteThis is true, but is it really relevant to the Obama vs. Clinton question?
I think electability would be a much bigger concern. Can Obama win in 2012? Can Clinton do it if he can't? Those questions are still very much up in the air two years before the next Presidential election.
Wow. Extraordinary.
ReplyDeleteYou are actually equating Approval (which is what you are using with the President) to Favorable/Unfavorable numbers (which is what you are using for everyone else).
I don't even know what to say to that.
Unbelievable.