Tuesday, November 2, 2010

Governor Candidate Favorabilities

Below is a chart looking at the favorabilities (or approvals for current office holders) of the 31 Gubernatorial candidates included on our final 18 polls. Some observations:

-The most popular candidates are Brian Sandoval, Tom Corbett, Sean Parnell, John Hickenlooper, and Eliot Cutler.

-The least popular candidates are Dan Maes, Libby Mitchell, Pat Quinn, Rick Scott, and Tom Emmer.

-The most popular candidates who are probably going to lose anyway are Cutler, Ethan Berkowitz, and Bill White.

-The least popular candidates who are probably going to win anyway or at least have a 50/50 chance are Paul LePage, Jerry Brown, and Bill Brady. Rick Scott and Tom Emmer have pretty good chances at winning despite low favorability numbers as well.

Here's the full rundown:

Candidate

Favorability/Approval

Spread

Brian Sandoval

56/33

+23

Tom Corbett

51/32

+19

Sean Parnell

51/35

+16

John Hickenlooper

51/38

+13

Eliot Cutler

46/33

+13

John Lynch

51/39

+12

Scott Walker

47/39

+8

Ethan Berkowitz

46/39

+7

Bill White

46/39

+7

Tom Foley

41/38

+3

Alex Sink

44/42

+2

Tom Tancredo

44/43

+1

John Kasich

43/42

+1

Rick Perry

45/45

Even

Dan Malloy

39/40

-1

Tom Horner

35/36

-1

Mark Dayton

43/45

-2

Tom Barrett

41/43

-2

John Stephen

37/40

-3

Bill Brady

39/45

-6

Jerry Brown

42/49

-7

Dan Onorato

37/45

-8

Ted Strickland

41/50

-9

Paul LePage

42/51

-9

Rory Reid

39/51

-12

Meg Whitman

38/50

-12

Tom Emmer

37/51

-14

Rick Scott

34/54

-20

Pat Quinn

32/54

-22

Libby Mitchell

31/56

-25

Dan Maes

11/66

-55

2 comments:

  1. And 2 in the low 30s, Pat Quinn and Rick Scott, both won!

    ReplyDelete
  2. Sorry, but what a disaster of polls... No-one with the winner...

    I never buy your numbers for IL-Gov.

    ReplyDelete