Tuesday, November 2, 2010

Senate Candidate Favorabilities

Below is a chart looking at the favorabilities (Or approvals for current office holders) of the 32 Senate candidates included on our final 18 polls. Some observations:

-The most popular candidates are Joe Manchin, Rob Portman, Kelly Ayotte, Scott McAdams, and Ron Johnson.

-The least popular candidates are Joe Miller, Jack Conway, Paul Hodes, Lee Fisher, and Lisa Murkowski.

-The most popular candidates who are probably going to lose anyway are McAdams, Kendrick Meek, and Elaine Marshall.

-The least popular candidates who are probably going to win anyway are Miller, Barbara Boxer, and whoever emerges as the winner between Harry Reid and Sharron Angle.

-When you see Portman, Ayotte, and Johnson at the top of this list while simultaneously seeing Joe Miller at the bottom and Sharron Angle and Ken Buck pretty far down as well it's a reminder that Republicans are still a lot better off with mainstream candidates than Tea Party ones, even if many of those Tea Party Republicans are still going to pull it off this year because the political climate is so bad for Democrats.

What else do you take away from these?

Candidate

Favorability/Approval

Spread

Joe Manchin

70/22

+48

Rob Portman

50/25

+25

Kelly Ayotte

57/34

+23

Scott McAdams

50/30

+20

Ron Johnson

51/35

+16

Kendrick Meek

42/32

+10

Marco Rubio

51/41

+10

Richard Blumenthal

50/40

+10

Richard Burr

45/39

+6

Elaine Marshall

40/35

+5

Pat Toomey

45/40

+5

Rand Paul

48/43

+5

Dino Rossi

45/46

-1

Charlie Crist

41/43

-2

Carly Fiorina

42/44

-2

Ken Buck

44/48

-4

Joe Sestak

39/43

-4

Russ Feingold

44/48

-4

Mark Kirk

39/45

-6

John Raese

41/47

-6

Patty Murray

44/51

-7

Michael Bennet

39/47

-8

Sharron Angle

44/53

-9

Barbara Boxer

40/50

-10

Harry Reid

39/51

-12

Alexi Giannoulias

42/55

-12

Linda McMahon

35/49

-13

Lisa Murkowski

37/52

-15

Lee Fisher

37/53

-16

Paul Hodes

34/50

-16

Jack Conway

34/52

-18

Joe Miller

36/59

-23

6 comments:

  1. The voters reject those who believe in using the force of government against responsible and productive people (Giannulias, Boxer, Bennet, Reid, Murray, Feingold, Sestak, etc)

    To sum up the national mood, look at the creative drive behind Washington ballot measure #1069. It would create a new state seal, properly identifying the government as a tapeworm... and honestly describing the purpose of big government, "Committed to sucking the lifeblood out of each and every tax payer".

    BEST IDEA EVER!

    The only question is why this hasn't been done sooner.

    http://townhall.com/tipsheet/HelenWhalenCohen/2010/11/02/best_ballot_initiative_ever

    ReplyDelete
  2. Johnson at the top is a Tea Party candidate.

    Murkowski at the bottom is the anti-Tea Party candidate.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Kirk, the anti-Tea Party establishment liberal, is very close on the list to Angle, the conservative Tea Party outsider.

    ReplyDelete
  4. "The tea party saved the Republican Party by, among other things, re-energizing it. But it’s also becoming clear the tea party did so without turning off the center.

    This is news. Six months ago the common wisdom was that the tea party was going to scare independent voters and make them run screaming from the tent...
    But the center doesn’t appear to be scared.

    ...We need to get into a place of cooperation. It can’t be we-they. The (Republican) party has structure, knowledge, experience. The tea party has principles—not just the principles but the passion to restore our country."

    peggynoonan.com

    Candidates with tea party backing (Ron Johnson, Marco Rubio, Pat Toomey, Rand Paul) are some of the most favorable candidates in the nation. Chris Christie and Bob McDonnell and Jan Brewer remain some of the most popular governor in the nation.

    The left-wing myth that voters will not warm up to Tea Party candidates and Tea party principles is proving to be just a desperate wish of elitist snobs losing their grip on power.

    ReplyDelete
  5. In the aftermath of the carnage last night, what do you think is the reason for polls consistently being off in Nevada? Not only this year, but in 2008 as well?

    ReplyDelete
  6. Thank God that Pennsylvanians made the right choices last night!!

    Pat Toomey defeated Joe Sleeze-stak
    Tom Corbett defeated Dan Onorato
    Mike Kelly defeated Kathy Dahlkemper

    ReplyDelete