Elon Poll: President

The latest Elon Poll is out. Click here for the news release and here for the results. You can see some analysis already at Capital Beat.

There is good news for the Democratic Party in the Presidential election. 38% of North Carolina residents say they plan on voting for the Democratic candidate for President, while 34.3% will vote for the Republican. Starting with a slight advantage would be a major boost to the Democrats in a normally “red state.”

In the Democratic Primary Hillary Clinton is a big winner.

HILLARY CLINTON 37.4
JOHN EDWARDS 18.0
BARACK OBAMA 17.7
JOSEPH BIDEN 3.7
BILL RICHARDSON 1.3
DENNIS KUCINICH 0.5

Note, however, that these results consist of only North Carolina residents who say they will vote for the Democratic candidate for President. That is NOT the same as people who are LIKELY to vote in the Democratic Primary in May.

In the Republican Primary Fred Thompson comes out on top.

FRED THOMPSON 27.9
RUDY GIULIANI 21.0
JOHN MCCAIN 12.2
MITT ROMNEY 8.4
MIKE HUCKABEE 2.0
RON PAUL 1.4
SAM BROWNBACK 0.4
TOM TANCREDO 0.4

The same cautions that exist for the Democratic results, exists for Republicans too, though these numbers are very similar to Republican results we see coming from PPP and Civitas.

The poll was conducted Sept. 24-27 and consisted of 664 North Carolina residents. More on the Governor and Senate campaign results in the Elon Poll later.