Wednesday, December 19, 2007

Republicans have a facts problem

Ok that's not exactly breaking news.

But I didn't want to let the (of course) anonymous comment made on the thread about our recent poll showing Patrick McHenry's popularity sliding go unnoticed to the broader readership of the blog:

And you wonder why your organization and your polls lack all credibility:

When looking at the crosstabs, here is the political affiliation breakdown of those who were polled:

If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a

Republican, press 2. If other, press 3.

Democrat ........................................................ 47%

Republican...................................................... 39%

Other............................................................... 15%

Here is the actual breakdown of the district according to the NCFREE Almanac of NC Politics:

Democrat…………………………….36.85%

Rep……………………………………43.33%

Unaff………………………………….19.82%

That would be a fair point...if it were true. The party breakdown of our statewide general election tracking poll was 47-39-15. But the breakdown on our separately conducted 10th Congressional District poll was 51% Republicans, 37% Democrats, and 12% others, actually more Republican than what this person seemed to think we should have had. Of course in many parts of North Carolina the Republican leanings of the electorate are stronger than what the registration numbers would seem to indicate, and the 10th District is one of those places where that is historically the case.

Folks, you can attack us all you want but you're going to make yourself look pretty stupid if you don't make sure you know what you're talking about first. I know it's upsetting to see McHenry's poll numbers going down but there are better ways to cope with it!

1 comment:

gregflynn said...

Easily explained. Since Art Pope is on the Board of NCFree they probably decided that 8% in the category of registered Republicans were actually RINOs and were reclassified as unaffiliated.

 
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