On deck for this weekend are our monthly national (which we skipped in October) and North Carolina polls.
For the national poll we always test Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, and Mitt Romney against Barack Obama and then we always do a bonus Republican. The only 'rule' as far as the bonus Republican goes is that it has to be someone we haven't tested in the last six months, which rules out Glenn Beck, Chris Christie, Jan Brewer, and Ron Paul. Beyond that we are open to your suggestions. We'll take nominations for the next 24 hours and then put it to a vote.
We are also always soliciting good question suggestions so if there's something you think should be asked on a national survey then fire away!
In North Carolina we're going to start up looking at the 2012 contest for Governor- we're definitely going to test Pat McCrory and Tom Fetzer- any other Republicans you think we should be throwing in the mix? And just like with the national poll, suggestions for other good questions are much appreciated as well.
Thanks as always for all the good ideas.
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36 comments:
Try Donald Trump... He's talked about at GOP run.
It might also be interesting to see Obama Vs. Generic Republican Vs. Jesse Ventura in a three way race.
You should poll Rubio. For the craic, as we Irish say.
Include Jeb Bush in the poll. His public reputation is very much an enigma to me.
Mitch Daniels
Try Obama vs Generic Republican vs Bloomberg. Also try Gov. Christie or for fun try Obama vs Limbaugh or Obama vs Beck.
Steve Forbes
Also, Ron Paul shouldn't be a "bonus", he is (or, in the case of PPP, was) polling better than half of the clowns on the list.
Fred Smith, Steve Troxler
T-Paw.
BTW, Brewer, Beck, seriously... ?
Ron Paul used to be a regular.
Come on PPP, put him back.
how about George Pataki
"Also try Gov. Christie or for fun try Obama vs Limbaugh or Obama vs Beck."
Tom just said that Beck and Christie are off the table since we've done them each in the last few months.
"Also, Ron Paul shouldn't be a "bonus", he is (or, in the case of PPP, was) polling better than half of the clowns on the list."
Actually, no, when we polled him head-to-head in July, he was 10 points behind, which was worse than the others were doing. He's also far less likely to win the nomination than those four "clowns."
"Ron Paul used to be a regular."
Just in the primary, not head-to-head against Obama, which is what we're talking about here. But we did put him back in the primary field starting with VA and MT this past weekend, since Pence now looks unlikely to run. Of course, he may not stay there if Santorum or other guys start looking more likely to run. It's going to be a crowded field.
Oprah Winfrey. She's not a Republican, but it would be an entertaining question to see a response to.
I'd also like to see US sentiments on required voting. "In Australia, citizens are legally required to vote in national elections. Proponents argue that this ensures representative elections and allows candidates to concentrate on issues instead of getting out the vote. Opponents argue that the decision on whether or not to vote should be a matter of personal choice. Would you support a mandatory voting law in the US, oppose such a law, or have no feelings either way?"
My expectation would be that Republicans would be strongly opposed (since they depend on depressing minority and youth turnout for their campaigns) and Democrats less so, for the same reasons. Both would probably be cool to the idea, though, as mandatory-anything rarely gets a good public response in general without advocates pushing it ahead of time.
how about Kay Bailey Hutchinson
I second the vote for Donald Trump.
How about a moderate Republican like Olympia Snowe? She's not going to run for President, but how would she fare?
Replace Bev Purdue with another Dem like Brad Miller or AG Roy Miller. With her weak numbers and/or redistricting controlled by the GOP you never know what will happen.
Still waiting for your firm to poll Rudy Giuliani, who has increasingly been dropping hints that he plans to pursue the presidency again in 2012.
POLITICO: Giuliani: 'Door's not closed' on 2012
Q13 Fox News Seattle: Rudy Ready for Return to the Ring
Rand Paul is making the Sunday shows and is easily the most recognized Tea Party Senator. He got elected in Kentucky whereas a Ron Paul might not have so I wonder if the country has that dynamic as well.
Gov. Daniels from Indiana
Mike Pence from Indiana.
I would go with Mitch Daniels or Haley Barbour. I have them as my two most likely GOP nominees other than the ones you listed. You could do Pawlenty but I think he has less of a shot. As always, I look forward to the results!
"Gov. Daniels from Indiana"
Already did him back in March. Since he hasn't been doing well even in our primary matchups, he's not likely to fare any better now than he did then against Obama.
Grenator Dob Bole.
Also Boehner, Cantor, Jindal, or Rubio.
As always, you should consider Thune and Pawlenty because they are running for President.
I'd second Jeb Bush. It would be interesting to see how much his last name hurts him, especially in states outside Florida and Texas where he's not well known. From what i can tell he was a highly popular governor and did extremely well in the non-Cuban Hispanic population in Florida.
It would be doubly interesting to see what a general George W. Bush vs. Obama poll would be among registered voters.
What about an Obama versus Some other Democrat (like Feingold or Dean) in a 2012 Democratic presidential primary poll, especially if you poll an early primary state. Basically see if that's an angle worth investigating further on.
Bobby Jindal. He got a lot of national attention after the oil spill and is again now with his book tour.
Haley Barbour
Former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson is obviously planning a run for President. Might as well include him now.
Ron Paul was polled as an independent, thus he should now be polled as a Republican.
Plus, Gary E. Johnson should be polled as well.
"Ron Paul was polled as an independent, thus he should now be polled as a Republican."
No, we polled him as the GOP nominee as well. He got 13% in a 3-way with Romney and Obama, and 36% to Obama's 46% when he was the Republican.
We've also done Gary Johnson, and no one knew who he was, and those who said they did were probably lying. So he didn't do much better than Basil Marceaux against Obama.
It's been a while and Mitch Daniels has gotten a lot more national attention since March. I think it'd be interesting to see how he fares this time.
Jindal is a good one, too, though.
Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, or Chris Christie.
Dustin & Tom... you know more about this than I do but are any Republican Representatives interested in running for Governor? Then include them.
Ask: Would you like a Democratic redistricting map, a nongerrymandered map or a Republican map?
Poll Elizabeth Dole's favorability rating.
I agree, I would poll some congressman like Walter Jones or Sue Myrick.
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