Voters in Ohio really aren't too fond of Barack Obama. His approval rating there is only 42%, with 49% of voters disapproving of him. Republicans dislike him (87% disapproval) a whole lot more than Democrats like him (71% approval). Independents are even more negative toward him than the population as a whole, with 54% of them disapproving of him and 40% approving.
Despite all that Obama leads all four of the leading Republicans for reelection in 2012 in Ohio in numbers we'll release tomorrow.
With his approval numbers where they are Obama shouldn't be winning in Ohio. Let's face it- the Republican front runners stink. The GOP's ability to beat Obama in 2012 probably hinges on someone emerging outside the Palin/Huckabee/Romney/Gingrich pack to win the nomination. If Obama's leading all those folks right now at a low point for his party and his Presidency, he'll probably destroy them in 2012 if the economy's seen any level of recovery. Americans know the top GOP folks- and they just don't like them. They're not real thrilled with Obama right now either but they think he's better than any of those folks.
Republicans need a fresh face to win in 2012- we'll see if one rises up.