Virginia: Running Mate Impacts

	More likely to vote for Obama	Less likely to vote for Obama	Voting Obama regardless of running mate	Voting McCain regardless of running mate
Warner	18	9	35	34
Clinton	14	13	34	35
Webb	12	12	36	34
Kaine	11	12	37	34

Although Mark Warner has sworn off consideration as a possible running mate for Barack Obama in Virginia, it sure looks like he could help put the ticket over the top in his home state. In addition to being popular as a Vice Presidential pick among Independents (24/16) and Democrats (19/7), his possible selection would even make more Republicans (10/6) likely to vote for Obama. By contrast Republicans report being less likely to vote for Obama if Kaine, Webb, or Clinton is the pick.

On a related note, Warner leads Jim Gilmore 59-28 in his Senate bid. Democrats may be concerned about picking Warner because of the certainty that the Senate seat will go blue, but with Gilmore polling below 30% one has to think that another Democratic challenger would be a strong favorite for the seat as well if Warner was to join the ticket.

Although there doesn't appear to be much enthusiasm for Tim Kaine or Jim Webb as possible running mates, it doesn't mean they're unpopular. Kaine has a solid 46/30 job approval rating, and Webb's is 44/33. Virginia voters just appear to want them to continue serving in the positions they have now.

Clinton is a popular possible running mate choice among Democratic voters, but would have a negative impact among Independents (18/25) and Republicans (5/11).

Full results here.