The race may be closer than it was six months ago but the truth remains: Richard Blumenthal is one of the strongest Democratic Senate candidates in the country, Linda McMahon is one of the weakest Republican ones, and Blumenthal holds a double digit lead. It's 53-41 in PPP's newest look at the race.
Blumenthal's favorability rating is 53/39, making him the second most popular Democratic Senate candidate in a competitive race behind only Joe Manchin in West Virginia. That would make him a tough opponent in a blue state even for a strong Republican opponent but that McMahon is not.
Her numbers are the exact inverse of Blumenthal's with only 39% of voters seeing her positively and 53% having an unfavorable opinion. The only Republican Senate candidates that our most recent polls found with worse favorability numbers than McMahon were Joe Miller, Sharron Angle, and Christine O'Donnell.
Fewer than half of voters in the state- 47%- think McMahon is fit to hold public office. McMahon would have to make serious in roads with Democrats to have any chance at winning the race but only 13% of them have a favorable view of her.
Blumenthal is confounding the main trends giving Democratic candidates across the country trouble this year. Independents are generally leaning strongly toward the GOP but Blumenthal ties McMahon with them at 45%. For the most part Republican voters this year are much more unified than Democrats but Blumenthal is getting more cross over support than McMahon, taking 15% of Republicans while losing only 11% of Democrats.
Certainly Blumenthal's lead is not as lofty as it once was. But he still looks to be in a pretty solid position going into the last four weeks of the campaign.
Full results here