We're going to do 2 state polls this weekend- where would you like us to go? We'll take suggestions until the morning, pick some finalists, and then take a vote during the day tomorrow to pick the two states where we poll. Thanks as always for the good ideas!
47 comments:
Utah.
Indiana: Lugar primary, Obama numbers, Governor's race. All could be interesting.
CT and OH
California, ask whether they support splitting up the state
South Carolina Nevada Iowa
Poll Kentucky and poll down the ballot contests. Poll Nevada and poll NV2 at the same time Marshall vs Amodei
Virginia, check out the Old Dominion's opinion on Eric Cantor during the debt showdown. Plus, revisit Allen-Kaine, Obama's standing in swing state, and potentially early look at 2013.
Virginia. Check out opinion of Eric Cantor during the debt fight, plus revisit Allen-Kaine, look at Obama in another swing state, and maybe an early look at 2013 Governor's race.
Minnesota. Who is more to blame for the government shutdown - Governor or Legislature.
I think the biggest 2012-campaign news of the week is that Elizabeth Warren won't head the CFPB and instead may pursue a Senate race against Scott Brown. I'd love to see PPP poll Massachusetts and examine how an Elizabeth Warren/Brown match up would play out. While in Massachusetts, I'd also enjoy seeing how Deval Patrick would fare against Brown, given his recent surge in approval. Finally, just for fun, I'd love to see Brown tested against a trio of Kennedys - Vicki, Joseph Patrick III and Caroline?
CA and OH.
I'd like to see one of those:
AR
LA
KY
OK
ID
AL
IL
Alabama: Q: about trust in gov’t see: ongoing Federal Bingo trial for details, Bham debt/bankruptcy, high unemployment
Haven't heard anything from Hawaii and the democratic primary over there in a while. Virginia is always a good one to poll. Missouri?
South Carolina
Michigan. Now that Stabenow has a challenger, check in there.
Also, Ohio. And polling for the recall of that anti-union legislation.
Michigan a poll came out with Romney leading Obama
Nevada and Virginia Presidential. Two states Obama carried in 2008 but that saw GOP gains in 2010.
Let me help PPP out. Utah was just polled, and Indiana can't be polled due to some state law that makes it difficult to poll.
Now here are my two suggestions:
* Michigan - With Pete Hoekstra reconsidering running, Oakland County Water Resources Commissioner John McCulloch actually running (with the endorsement of long time state political figure, County Executive L. Brooks Patterson) and with State House Speaker Jase Bolger considering a bid, are any of these candidate closer to Stabenow. When you last looked in March, Stabenow looked ok, but in December 2010, things were close. Where are things now? Also, with Romney doing decent against Obama, is Michigan also for Romney in both the General and Primary. (His dad was Governor here)
And here is a long shot, but could be interesting, I never would have guessed Utah would have been! =)
* Vermont - Is Bernie Sanders safe? Dem turned GOP State Auditor Tom Salmon, son of a popular former Governor is considering running here. Also, is Peter Shumlin safe against several potentially strong Republicans?
Thank you for the consideration PPP!!
Alaska - see how Murkowski and Begich are holding up.
Vermont - approval ratings, plus the single-payer they';re considering.
Illinois.
California.
Lots of potential ballot initiatives:
-- term limits change
-- tobacco tax
-- Amazon sales tax
-- teaching of gay history in schools
-- legalizing marijuana
-- marriage equality
-- immigration
http://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php/California_2012_ballot_propositions
Florida!
Ben nelson against gop'ers ( haridopolos dropped out!)
Also some house races...like DNC chairwoman in district 20.
Michigan: Hoekstra is in.
MI, with Hoekstra in. Also do Tennesee which we haven't seen in a while. Want to see if Bredesen is still competitive. Also would it hurt to see another look at Mississippi before the primary. Finally Nevada, including a House poll.
Gotta try Indiana to see if it has reverted back to the Red column or if it could be in play for President and Senate. It's a midwest state also, and I don't think you guys have polled there in a long time.
Florida look at the GOP primary for senate and presidential race. And look at the Connecticut with its Dem primary for Senate. Also it would be interesting to do a revote in a competitve race for governor where the Democrat won, ie Malloy vs Foley in CT
NV with Sen & NV-02 special numbers
IN Lugar primary
MA now that Warren could run
There are a ton of states that haven't really been polled in a number of months that could be interesting to see. I'd suggest:
- Maine and Nebraska would be my first choices, since both states feature moderate Senators up for re-election next year who both seem to be on relatively thin ice within their own party
- Connecticut, California, Michigan, Missouri, and Tennessee would also be interesting choices that haven't been polled in a while
Thanks as always for taking suggestions!
Michigan is the obvious choice now (presidential and senate numbers).
Besides Michigan I'd suggest NV or Colorado.
California and Kentucky. Ask about gay marriage in both and about making CA different states and in KY also ask about the gov race.
Nevada- Competitive Senate & Presidential Race and a special congressional election.
Minnesota- Lets see who's getting the blame for the shut down and its consequences.
Michigan- Competitive Senate & Presidential Race
Vermont- Just to see how Sanders and Shumlin are doing
Delaware- Anything with Christine O'Donnell.
Nevada, especially NV02 special eleciton
Kentucky I think is the best choice. They are having their Governor's race this very year.
I would also like to second the suggestion of Nevada, when and if you are willing to poll the special House election.
Good suggestions here. I like KY, NV, VA, MI, TN, CO.
I like the CA split polling idea but I wouldn't suggest it except as a joke, nothing really going on in CA worth polling.
How about Colorado. For such a so-called swing state, I haven't seen it polled very often. In fact, I can't remember a single time since the 2010 election. You could poll approvals, gay marriage, legalizing pot, and the 2012 presidential election.
Also, Nebraska would be a good state to poll. The 2012 Senate race and 2012 Presidential in the 2nd CD to see if Obama could win again.
West Virginia's worth a look. It'll be good to see if Maloney's making any progress since his primary upset and how well Manchin is holding up.
How about Virginia and Maine?
Kentucky
Tennessee
Vermont-Shumlin and Sanders, single-payer bill (Act 48)
Maine-Snowe's primary vulnerability, LePage/legislature approvals
Colorado.
It would be a treat to see how badly Obama is losing the Centennial State.
MI with Hoekstra
IL would be nice to see approval for Durbin, Kirk and Quinn, see how people feel about the inevitable Lisa Madigan for Governor campaign
Iowa... how much do people still care about gay marriage? Are people satisfied with a D Senate holding up the R agenda or are they viewed as obstructionists?
Colorado
Iowa
Kentucky
Michigan
Nevada
Poll TN US Senate seat, specifically Corker V. Bredesen, and then California US Senate, Pres., and death penalty bill, and gay history bill
Massachusetts - Brown vs Warren
Arizona
Texas
Maryland is one I would like to see. We can pretty much guess Obama's numbers but I am curious as to whom the Republican base here supports. Virginia would be an interesting one to pair it off with - a Beltway analysis: how do Marylanders and Virginians feel about the upcoming GOP nominees?
@John: As a recovering Marylander, there's really no reason to poll Maryland except when MD-01 somehow becomes relevant, which probably won't happen again for a while.
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