Tennessee was the winner of our vote on where to do a state poll this coming weekend. Even though it's probably wishful thinking that any big name Democrat would run against Bob Corker, please let us know who you want us to poll. And at this point I feel like we basically need to test right wing challengers to every Republican Senator up for reelection next year so if there are folks you'd be interested to see Corker matched up against in a primary tell us that too. And if there's anything you want us to ask in Tennessee beyond the Senate race and the Presidential race we'd love to hear it. We'll definitely do favorabilities on Al Gore, Bill Frist, and Harold Ford Jr. and some stuff about college sports in the state. We haven't done a public poll in Tennessee in more than three years, I'm kind of hyped to tell you the truth.
The finalists for this month's bonus Republican are now up for a vote on the top of the page- your choices are Haley Barbour, Rudy Giuliani, Jon Huntsman, Gary Johnson, Rand Paul, Ron Paul, and Tim Pawlenty. We'd appreciate your suggestions for good national poll question ideas as well. Thanks as always.
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20 comments:
I don't understand why you don't have already poll NH? New Hampshire is the KEY state. More than FL, OH, NC or any others.
Obama can win without FL, OH, NC, VA, IN but not NH.
Without NH, he's at 268 electoral votes.
And I'm more worry about NH than for exemple VA at this point because in 2010 Democrats was destroyed there and apparently they were strongly against BO.
You totally gotta poll Bruce Pearl's approval rating seeing how the school is probably going to have to make an effort not to fire him at this point.
Bart Gordon
Phil Bredesen
Roy Herron
Jim Cooper as the Democrats
Hank Williams Jr. has frequently made noise since 08 about primarying Corker. Test him
Harold Ford Jr. Is definitely a good one to poll as a basepoint, even though he carpetbagged to New York.
It'll be interesting to see the Presidential numbers. Another pollster recently showed Obama up over Palin by several points. I'm not sure how it works, but is it possible to ask why you wouldn't vote for her? Like, have a question that asks why you prefer Obama to Palin?
Might be too difficult, but I'm curious what the main criticism of independents is. Too conservative? too inexperienced? Personally unlikable? I really want to know what causes her to lose so badly compared to the rest.
I know you'll be polling the presidential race, but before everyone assumes it's a gimme, a Vanderbilt poll had Obama+5 over Palin in TN... would be interesting to get confirmation.
Poll Phil Bredesen against mr. Corker
Phil Bredesen, Lincoln Davis, or Jim Cooper for the Dems. Maybe Steve Cohen, just for the heck of it.
Primary challengers, Marsha Blackburn or Stephen Fincher.
As far as testing candidates against Corker, I will repost what I wrote in another thread:
Corker v. Generic Democrat
Corker v. Ron Littlefield (Mayor of Chattanooga)
Corker v. A C Wharton (Mayor of Memphis)
Corker v. Karl Dean (Mayor of Nashville)
Corker v. (former) Rep. Bart Gordon
Corker v. (former) Rep. Jim Cooper
New: Corker v. (former) Rep. Harold Ford, Jr.
As far as a primary challenge, I second testing Hank Williams, Jr. against him. Other than that, I am not sure whom to suggest, because Tennessee seems to be fairly moderate in its Republicanism and Corker seems to be pretty popular. Will there be anyone besides some truly obscure guy, possibly someone with absolutely no experience?
Polling Bill Clinton's approvals would be cool- it'll be good to see how the last Democratic President to win Tennessee is holding up.
"I don't understand why you don't have already poll NH? New Hampshire is the KEY state."
We did do NH back in November, right after the election. It was actually part of our final 2010 election poll. Romney was way out in front with 40% of the vote.
In the general, NH is definitely not THE key state--VA, NC, OH, and FL are much more crucial targets for the GOP to take back because they have far more electoral votes and are actually probably more red than is NH. Kerry and Obama both won NH, and it's a pretty safe bet to stay blue, even with Romney as the nominee. We'll do it again at some point soon.
"Obama can win without FL, OH, NC, VA, IN but not NH."
He's beating all the Republicans in FL, OH, NC,and VA already.
"You totally gotta poll Bruce Pearl's approval rating seeing how the school is probably going to have to make an effort not to fire him at this point."
We will, and Lane Kiffin.
"Hank Williams Jr. has frequently made noise since 08 about primarying Corker. Test him"
Good idea. Any other popular country singers? I know Tim McGraw's been mentioned as a possible Democratic candidate for some office in the future.
"I'm not sure how it works, but is it possible to ask why you wouldn't vote for her? Like, have a question that asks why you prefer Obama to Palin?"
If we have definite answer choices that correspond to one of eight buttons on the phone. It might be more relevant in the national poll, though.
National poll question: Do you think it is more important
to support international leaders who support the United States.
to support democracy internationally.
Rotating order. That's topical with the Egypt troubles.
I second the Tim McGraw suggestion. You might try Mike McWherter, just coming off the governor's race. Maybe Kim McMillan, former state house majority leader, was in the governor's race before dropping out, and just got elected Mayor of Clarksville.
poll
Bart Gordon
Phil Bredesen
and Al Gore against Corker
Gore for Senate.
genuinely curious.
Marsha Blackburn vs Bob Corker in a primary, also Zach Wamp.
It looks like the Ron Paul people just gamed your poll...
Gore for Senate. Not likely but I would really really like to see those results.
Few interesting options for Tennessee.
Phil Bredesen must be tested for the senate race like you do with a lot of republicans.
And Jim Cooper too, because his current seat can become a lot more republican after the redistricting.
I have to agree that New Hampshire needs polling as does Indiana to see where Obama stands in those two states. I found a table summarizing your state 2012 Presidential polls at http://www.marstonchronicles.info and see that these are the two battleground states that need to be polled. That site had nice things to say about you. Tennessee will re-elect Corker and not go for Obama so what will a poll there really tell us?
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