Iowa was the winner of our vote on where to poll this week so we'll do that in addition to our national poll. Obviously we'll ask about the Republican primary on both polls and test Obama against the regulars. Beyond those things what would you like to see us delve into? Appreciate the question suggestions as always.
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For the national numbers, poll a GOP dream longlist featuring Palin, Giuliani, Christie and Ryan.
Also, for fun, how about polling a Trump third-party bid? Throw Nader in, too, if you'd like.
And what about a primary against Obama? What are Hillary's numbers against him? Kucinich's?
Ask opinions on the necessity of farm subsidies, ethonol subsidies, etc.
"Should the Ames Straw Poll be done away with?"
How important do you think it is for the President to have experience running a business?
How important do you think it is for the President to have served in the military?
Favorable/unfavorable opinion of Federal Reserve
Support/oppose military action in Libya
Support/oppose military action in Iran if intelligence indicated they were close to developing a nuclear weapon
Should long term capital gains- the income a person earns from a profitable investment that lasts more than one year- be taxed at a lower rate than labor income to encourage investment?
Find out if Iowans would prefer a primary election instead of a caucus.
Iowa:
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mike Gronstal (Iowa Senate majority leader) ?
Will you vote to unseat the Iowa Supreme Court justices up for recall in 2012, all of whom voted to allow same-sex marriage in Iowa?
Would you vote for a constitutional amendment barring same-sex marriage, or should Iowa's constitution remain as is, allowing same-sex marriage?
National:
How about third party candidacies?
Sanders - Obama - Romney
Obama - Bloomberg - Perry
Obama - Romney - Bachmann
Also your standard same-sex marriage legal or illegal question nationally.
In addition to the all-hands poll, a three-way test of Romney/Perry/Bachmann. The rest of them are either long past their fifteen minutes of fame (like Herman Cain or Rick Santorum) or have a crackpot cult following but no real chance of victory (Ron Paul).
For the national poll, preferences for the deficit committee: "Would you rather: see service cuts only, see tax increases only, see mostly cuts but some tax increases, see mostly tax increases but some cuts, or an even mix?"
Also, more relevant: "Would you rather see Washington concentrate on the deficit and not take action on jobs, or see Washington concentrate on creating jobs and let the deficit grow?"
I feel very strongly that it would be important to do a three-way against Ron Paul in the nationals. My gut tells me his supporters will draft him into an independent bid this time around.
As for the national poll...
Seeing that one major Republican Presidential contender (Pawlenty) has already dropped out, it's possible that others may follow soon. Another "second choice" question would probably be useful at this point. Perhaps even a "third choice" question if you don't have too many other questions already.
1. Do you think Ron Paul is being treated fairly by the media? (Yes, No, Undecided)
2. Would you support another war to prevent Iran from getting a nuclear weapon?
3. Would you support cuts to ethanol subsidies to help balance the budget?
1. what's the most important quality you want in a republican presidential nominee?
a. electability
b. job creation
c. opposing an individual mandate.
d. being pro-life.
e. supporting the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.
I'm not sure of the wording, but basically try to find out what the most important quality of a candidate is and then ask those voters who they support. add or subtract any you wish, if this question is used.
For Iowa testing Steve King and Bruce Braley's favorables would be good: King because he's so controversial and Braley because he's a likely statewide candidate in the future.
Another Iowa question is asking them how important it is that they remain the first primary/ caucus. With the primary calender likely to change it'll be good to see how much Iowans care about keeping the top spot.
Do you have a favorable/unfavorable/undecided opinion of the Ames Straw Poll
National Poll For Fun - 2016 Clinton vs. Jeb Bush - two household last names that should be able to elicit a response whether or not they know much about Jeb.
National - Top 10 swing states Perry v. Obama compared to Romney v. Obama. You keep spelling out in your state polls Romney is the most electable, but this would be create a compelling headline for a poll.
Iowa:
Poll the two competitive congressional races (Chirstie Vilsack vs. Steve King and Tom Latham vs. Leonard Boswell)
See how Iowans would vote in a do-over between Chet Culver and Terry Branstad.
For the national poll obviously poll the latest against Obama versus the GOP and get Perry especially and thoughts on him. Also national congressional generic and how about a national gay marriage legal or illegal poll like in the states of late? Just my thoughts.
Someone else mentioned Gronstal and I agree a poll on his popularity considering his intransigence on gay marriage would be interesting. Also of interest would be a question about obama's job performance on economic issues. Gallup released some shocker numbers there today and it would be interesting to see what your take on that was.
National poll:
I think an interesting question would be "Would you support or oppose a deficit-reduction deal that included a cuts-to-revenue ratio of $10 in cuts for every $1 in higher tax revenue?" or something of that nature, just to see how out of touch the Republican presidential candidates are with the American people (and I imagine the cross-tabs would be fascinating).
Another question that might be interesting for the national poll would be "Who of the following do you believe is the most committed to creating jobs?" with the options of President Obama, Republicans in Congress or Democrats in Congress.
Iowa poll:
For Iowa, there's a ton going on on the presidential side of things of course, but it would be nice to see an update regarding public opinion on same-sex marriage, especially with the two separate questions with and without civil unions as an option.
Thanks as always for taking suggestions!
For disapprove of Obama, what do you disapprove of most: not spending enough no jobs, too much spending, compromises too much with the Republicans etc. Maybe also ask of people who won't vote for him.
When are you going to poll the Nevada special election ?
Huntsman-Obama in the national poll
Have you done an Obama/McCain do over similar to the ones you have done of the governors? Would be interesting.
What NRH said, but with Ron Paul as well (he isn't gling away and he attracts a non insignificant amount of support).
Also ask about the Iowa debate. Who watched, who won etc...
Perhaps ask a spending cuts to tax increase question to gauge the GOP electorate's priority in balancing the budget vs. compromising on taxes.
"Would you support a 1 to 1 ratio of spending cuts to tax increases to balance the budget?"
"Would you support a 3 to 1 ratio of spending cuts to tax increases to balance the budget?"
"Would you support a 10 to 1 ratio of spending cuts to tax increases to balance the budget?"
Last one was asked in the debate and all the candidates rejected it, so would be interesting to see.
If you can get a large enough subsample, I'd love to see an initial take on Steve King vs. Christie Vilsack.
Did you vote at Ames? Does a candidate winning Ames make it more likely, less likely, or no difference, for you to vote for them. Same if a candidate skips Ames. Same if a candidate has indicated they won't campaign aggressively in Iowa.
A generic legislative ballot would be a great question for Iowa, as well as a Branstad re-do.
Thanks for listening!
For the national poll I would like to see the number of people that voted for Obama in the 2008 primary that, in consideration of current events, would have voted for Hillary instead.
Would love to see Iowa House race polling if you can delve that deep.
My ideal poll:
Identify the top 10 swing states and poll Obama v. Romney, Perry, Rubio, Jeb Bush, Christie
AND
Hillary v. the same group. My theory is Hillary is the stronger Dem candidate in those states and, if true, Hillary should enter as a "friendly" primary challenger without mudslinging (or just let her have nomination--he looks tired and defeated).
Ask if Iowans are in favor of corn subsidies. Mitt Romney said that he is. Republicans are generally against subsidies but I wonder whether it's different for corn in Iowa.
2012 and 2016 Democratic caucus numbers. Include Clinton, Kucinich, Cuomo, Dean and Possibly some other people.
At some point Jon Huntsman should be tested as a third party candidate against Obama and Romney, Perry, Bachmann.
Dig deep into the relative support for Romney versus Perry with Independent voters in Iowa.
Do head-to-head polls with Obama versus Romney and Obama versus Perry. The results of such a poll right now could impact the 2012 Iowa GOP caucuses tremendously.
Ask Democrats and Independents about thier willingness to support Hillary Clinton for president in 2016. This would neutralize automatic opposition to her at this point in time--especially among Obama supporters. On the other hand, it might also reveal an underlying "buyers' remorse" among the people that MADE Obama's candidacy in 2008.
Are you familiar with Rick Perry's position as Texan campaign manager for Al Gore?
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