Barack Obama 48
John McCain 39
Barack Obama begins the general election in Michigan with a nine point lead. There are strong indications within the poll that party unity is close to full strength in the state. This is the first state where PPP has found Obama doing a better job of holding Democratic voters within the party (78-12) than McCain has of nailing down the Republican vote (74-19). Obama also has a 40-36 lead with independent voters, which Michigan has a lot of.
Obama's going to win any state where he's leading the white vote, and he has a 44-42 lead with it at this point. His 76-18 lead with black voters is likely to end up being larger on election day- pre-election polls frequently under estimate the percentage of the African American vote that Democratic candidates end up garnering.
The gender gap in Michigan is not particularly large. Obama leads by 11 points with women and 7 points with men.
Michigan had been thought to be a state where McCain could play offense, but this initial poll shows he has a lot of ground to make up.
Carl Levin 54
Jack Hoogendyk 32
Levin is likely to win another dominant reelection. Even among Republicans Hoogendyk is polling at just 63%, with Levin pulling 23%. Levin also has a 53-27 advantage with independent voters.
Full results here.